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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 208 is Canceled Due to Rain
xp1337
11/21/18 11:32:12 PM
#307:


Also, a retrospective on 538's models:

538 Projection:

House: D+39
Senate: R+1 (rounded from 0.5)
Governor: D+8

Reality:

House: D+39 (with CA-21 still outstanding. Narrow R lead, but as provisionals have been coming in the Democrat has cut the lead. But they aren't going to continue counting this week so boo. Would be a D gain if the Democrat wins)
Senate: R+2
Governor: D+7

So basically, 538's model was a Florida away from being perfect. (And possibly even underestimating the House slightly if CA-21 goes blue to bring the number to 40 pickups.)
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