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TopicIf everything is 100% automated except medical careers,how would anyone get $$$?
BlameAnesthesia
09/17/18 5:44:52 PM
#14:


Tyranthraxus posted...
Robots are already better at diagnosing.


No they're not. EKG machines cannot really tell the difference between a-fib and artifact and it over reads ischemia all the time. The deep learning radiology tools can only really work on chest x-rays (the most basic of modalities within that specialty) and they don't have the combined sensitivity and specificity as a person yet.

The misleading things about articles regarding AI is that they tout stuff like "more sensitive than doctors" knowing the reader doesn't know that I can write a computer script that is 100% accurate in diagnosing cancer--by giving everyone a cancer diagnosis. I just say nothing regarding the false positive rate of my "test."

Thus far, combining sensitivity with specificity is something machines can't do better at this point. Couple in that the medical field is highly litigious and highly regulated, it'll take decades and decades of bureaucracy even after the tech has been developed before it is fully integrated into regular practice. Because any company that tries to implement it first is going to get sued to bankruptcy from how open they will be from a liability standpoint. Medicine never implements something that isn't better and safer than the current standard of care. Most other industries can implement imperfect tech and make improvements faster from data.

That is unacceptable in regards to human life and the hurdle to get past that milestone means it'll be one of the last replacements. It'll be used as an adjunct tool, but never outright actually replace, for a very long time. That being said that day will come eventually, just not nearly as much as your typical /r/futurology "enthusiast" seems to believe.
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