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TopicSony's new GAY Film is an OSCAR Contender that has a SEX Scene with a PEACH!!!
Zeus
09/14/17 3:17:44 AM
#53:


madadude posted...
So? We are talking about the race for best picture, as you clearly were making clear. Plus Social Network won editing and screenplay which are far more significant categories than actress in terms of winning best picture, and Inception won purely technical awards, and wasn't even nominated for director, so it had nothing significant going for it.


Those things tend to correlate more strongly with best picture. And Social Network didn't win best screenplay, it won best adapted screenplay. You know what did win best screenplay (aka best original screenplay)? The King's Speech. Which, by the way, also won best director and best actor.

madadude posted...
Again, so?

The number of Oscars won isn't what we are talking about here, we are talking about being a runner up for Best Picture. The precursor awards, which are the most common predictors of the Oscar race, as well as looking at what pundits were predicting at the time, clearly show American Hustle was third and had a slim chance, while Dallas Buyers Club had none. Dallas Buyers Club was the favorite to win actor, supporting actor, and makeup as those were the film's strengths. Acting awards are not a good predictor of best picture winners, plenty of acting winners haven't had their film nominated in best picture over the years. A good amount have also been the sole nominee of their film, yet won the award.

Both before the awards and after the awards, the vast consensus was that American Hustle was the second runner up, while Dallas Buyers Club wasn't on the radar to win.

American Hustle had a director nomination, which Dallas didn't have. In terms of the actual other awards predicting the Oscar winner, the best predictors are the nominees of director, screenplay and editing.

12 Years a Slave and American Hustle were the only ones to have all 3. Dallas and Captain Phillips didn't have directing nominations, Nebraska and Wolf of Wall Street didn't have editing nominations. Gravity didn't have a screenplay nomination.

AH would have certainly beat Dallas.


So you claim and so you'd like to believe, but Dallas won more awards closely associated with a big win.

madadude posted...
It was the favorite to win up until the Producer's Guild Award went to Argo.


Favorite by who? If those are the same pundits you've been listening to, clearly they're divorced from reality.
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