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TopicNYT/Sienna Polling: Biden losing 5 of 6 major swing states
Goldice
11/05/23 11:44:01 AM
#23:


Zero_Destroyer posted...


I don't disagree things can change. But Biden's polling has been very, very, very bad for several months.

So was Obamas early in the Romney cycle.

The fact is the supporters of the opposition are more amped to vote. Furthermore, polls tend to be pretty nonsensical at this point. Like I said, the Dem senator is gonna win in a runaway but Trump is gonna win PA by 4? That's literal nonsense.

Dems have been out performing every special election and outperformed the 2022 midterms but they're gonna get crushed in 2024 despite the fact that the economy messaging is roughly the same? It's possible, but it'd be pretty surprising. Especially since MI and WI have gone more blue in follow up elections since 2016.

Keep in mind I think Trump can very easily win. But it's gonna be very close either way.

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