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TopicXenoblade Chronicles 3 Mafia: 1-2 Something A Bit Meatier
EDumey
01/25/23 10:39:05 AM
#262:


IfGodCouldDie posted...
No I wasn't, I was saying hypothetically if you decided not to contribute today plum should be just as pissed off at you as he is claiming to be at me. His biggest gripe is that he believes that I shot town and he must believe I am town otherwise how is he so sure I didn't shoot you to win as scum. Me being a day vig on the scum side this is exactly the kind of play I could get away with day 1. Yet he is so fucking sure that we are both town that I am actually talking myself into being suspicious of him as I write this.
Plum wasn't mad because he thinks you shot town. He was mad because you have zero concept of what Results Oriented Decision Making is and made a bad play. If you're playing Poker and have a hand that has a 95% chance to win, and you bet on that hand, it doesn't become a bad decision if the other player had the 5% hand he needed to win. You still would have made the correct decision to bet on the 95% chance victory.
It doesn't matter if you hit Town or Scum with your shot. The decision to make the shot in the way that you did was bad, because it was incredibly low info where you can just pass the buck to Corrik if things went wrong.
However I won't vote you with Plum, because I think it's better to wait for the day end and actually see what happens first. I'm not fond of purposely lynching someone we can soft confirm as town, even if you're playing badly.
Also aren't Scum Day Vigs INCREDIBLY rare? Or does B8 have more of a history with them?

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