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TopicYGO Master Duel Mafia Topic 4 - Slyfer no Slyfing
changmas
10/15/22 1:43:51 PM
#178:


I'm all caught up. before I go back and pull out a couple of things to comment on, here's where I'm currently at:

Town
Han - cleared from being anything that scans guilty off of item play, hasn't parlayed lopen's prior insistence he was scum into a mislynch there, plus even lopen is willing to accept he's town now

Lopen - I liked Lopen's early day 1 a lot as I mentioned. I think after that he got super lost in the sauce on Han but as of late he seems to have gotten past that and is back to seeing things clearly again

Abacus - If HB is town he's town or GF. If HB is scum he's likely town. I doubt scum HB chances this play on his teammate with the very real fear of being lynched. Very likely town in either scenario.

Probably Town
Peaf - I don't believe I've played with him before, so I can't say whether I think he's capable of this from scum side. But I think his line of questioning on me was a genuine attempt at solving the game, and he's been working to keep Han and Lopen focused, which is definitely pro-Town.

Poppy - I felt like he was town yesterday. Can't really say much more until he actually shows up today though. Absolutely the closest to moving out of this tier depending on his presence and posts in the next 6 hours.

One Town, One Scum
BCT
Sultan

These two are just linked together at this point. My money is still on BCT town, Sultan scum here because I don't think BCT's team would allow him to just flounder like that. And those weird rants too, I think those come from town. BCT kinda set himself up as a target from the beginning and Sultan has kind of been chipping away at that all game, which is probably a good target for scum sultan to aspire to mislynch. With that being said, if you told me BCT flipped scum and his team just cut him dry, I wouldn't be completely shocked. And BCT's new push on Lopen is very bad too, so the balance is tipping closer to 50/50. Either way, I'm pretty confident this is a 1/1 split between town and scum.

Likely a couple of scum here
Kirby - It feels like Kirby is trusted by most of the right people, but there's a part of me that can't help but feel like he knows more than he should. I'd need to remember if he advocated for the same thing as town in past games, but the whole "we should never ever lynched the claimed scanner" shtick he seems so confident about reeks to me of a play letting him turn right back around and say "I told you so" if he's scum who knows HB's alignment. If everyone thought like this, scum would just claim power roles all the time and skate to victories off lynching vanilla claims. I do like that he also wants to lynch Ben, though.

ctes - I feel like I think ctes is scum every game. This game I've intentionally tried to shy away from interacting with him because I still feel like I can't read him at all. I wouldn't be opposed to this lynch, or scan if we decide HB is in fact telling the truth because it would fully clear up the end of day 1 votes. But I think there's surer scum elsewhere.

HB - If a daycop does in fact exist, HB is certainly scum. And I can understand the motivation for a daycop not to claim at the moment, especially if the "mass Pot of Greed" theory ends up being true. It's likely that a guilty scan could mean nothing (unless it were on BCT), but a town scan might mean a lot. If there is no daycop, HB is probably telling the truth. Aside from that role meta, I hated his argument against Lopen where he suggested that Lopen looked bad for attacking Abacus. Isn't Lopen's motivation for attacking Abacus the same motivation HB had for scanning Abacus? You're both trying to find an inactive player's alignment.

Scum
Ben - Ben hasn't been what I expect from town Ben at all this game. Compared to a game like Baseball Mafia where even on Day 2 he was consistently driving the game forward, established a clear PoE, townlist. More than anything he was helpful! This game he's been nothing but cagey, pushing and prodding at little things here and there, but I haven't seen anything that so much looks like an attempt to genuinely engage with and solve the game. He's been going after me a lot, which might bias my view, but I can't help but feel like town Ben just does more than this. One of his earlier points against me today was accusing me of being linked with HB, but has since switched to defending HB himself. So am I still linked to HB, or was that just something you had to drop after you realized you needed to defend him? Your little two man "book of town" stunt is pretty cute, but that could easily be planned between the two of you.

##Vote: Ben


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