LogFAQs > #882756950

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TopicLabyrinth of Ishiene, Topic 2 [CYOA/Forum Game] [ITD8]
MariaTaylor
07/11/17 11:58:38 PM
#393:


best I can figure out is something like...

80% chance to kill someone right away
(.8 * .75) = 60% chance to kill two people in the first two moves
(.6 * .66) = 39.6% chance to kill three people in the first three moves

at this point he has the normal 75% chance to kill someone in a 1 v 1 scenario with two moves left

so

(.396 * .75) = 29.7% chance overall to wipe the entire party

considering I did no balance testing and just worked off of intuition this is surprisingly close to a 33% chance of failure (which is obviously the RNG standard for this series). that being said I knew there was a 75% chance for him to win a 1 v 1 and I'm still pretty surprised at how much it drops off on each step. for some reason I thought I designed it better so that it would remain relatively difficult no matter how many extra people you added.

there are other potential paths to follow (like missing the first move only), but since his miss chance grows with each kill it seems likely that a miss at the start/middle would lower the overall odds by a lot more than if he arrives at the 1 v 1 scenario with his two moves still intact.
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