LogFAQs > #880156638

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TopicPolitical futures market now has Trump impeachment odds at 18% for 2017
Giant_Aspirin
05/31/17 4:04:39 PM
#30:


The Admiral posted...
JSancton posted...
Is this the same stats people used to determine him losing the election? People have no right to use statistics sometimes


The futures market held pretty consistent that Trump had about a 1/3 chance of winning, even when garbage sites like 538 and HuffPo said his chances were 5% and 1%, respectively.


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

28.6%, actually (which is close to 1/3, mind you). where in the world did you get 5% from?
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