Like, I'm not trying to come off as an ass. I just don't like the vibe that you're giving that this is a total blindside result. It's really really not-- the third place match gives you a really good ballpark of where this should hit. I'm not going to say you're dumb not to pick 55-60, because you can argue for upset picks on the other sides (or Mario if you want a manly upset pick-- I wouldn't pick that though because I wouldn't want all my eggs in a basket and Mario winning would make me happy even if he cost me the contest).
Higher than 65 is completely absurd though. The strongest Mario we've seen by far shouldn't get beaten down by Link by the most we've ever seen especially when extrapolation without SFF says this is close to a 50/50.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!