| Board List | |
|---|---|
| Topic | Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1363 |
| red sox 777 08/25/20 1:50:28 PM #465 | Tomorrow is the 18th anniversary of Mario vs. Cloud. What a match..... --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Election 2020 Statistics and Discussion |
| red sox 777 08/11/20 7:50:32 PM #48 | Seanchan posted... Trump will just say "everything" and then ramble on for a minute or two. You mean "nothing"? This is a man who when asked if he had asked for forgiveness from God, said that he hadn't because he had never made any mistakes in his life. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Election 2020 Statistics and Discussion |
| red sox 777 08/11/20 5:15:16 PM #46 | Granted, this could also be a difficult question for Trump. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Election 2020 Statistics and Discussion |
| red sox 777 08/11/20 5:13:20 PM #45 | Trump is up to 44 cents on PredictIt. I think Kamala Harris is an awful choice for the VP. Biden is basically doubling down on neoliberalism. He probably won't be able to name a single thing he regrets about the Obama/Biden administration when he gets asked that at the debate. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Election 2020 Statistics and Discussion |
| red sox 777 07/31/20 1:24:05 PM #41 | Trump still hanging around -8% in the polls to Biden. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/30/20 5:37:34 PM #500 | I am personally not seeing a real downturn in the economy anything like this monstrous -33% number. The thing is, that GDP number is based on spending. Spending is down, but savings are up. Spending will come back in force in the future because people are going to find themselves with a lot of extra savings to spend this Christmas or next year. I am going to start buying shares in companies that make luxury products in anticipation of the shopping that's going to happen when people realize they have an extra 10k sitting around from all the spending they didn't do this year. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/30/20 2:13:58 PM #489 | Nanis23 posted... Honestly..NASDAQ is the only index I am looking at and the only one I consider important Well the tech giants are basically all due to report earnings today. I think the earnings are going to show that big tech isn't in recession at all. If they are, we could see the bloodbath you're looking for tomorrow. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/30/20 2:11:50 PM #488 | And long term, betting on the money printer is definitely a better idea than betting against it. Even if you FOMO'd into the very top of the tech bubble in 2000 by buying a Nasdaq ETF, after 20 years you'd......have twice as much money as you would by investing in the USD. And that's without reinvesting dividends. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/30/20 2:07:21 PM #486 | Nanis23 posted... is it tradeable yet? The GDP numbers were a little better than was expected yesterday, why would the market drop a lot today? I mean, the Dow is down 260 points.....it's not like it surged up. As far as betting on money printer goes brrr goes, the truth is, holding US dollars is a bet against it. You have to bet for or against it no matter what you do. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/30/20 12:20:27 PM #483 | Yeah, I was pretty surprised when I woke up this morning and saw CAR down 8%, after it was up over 10% yesterday morning and slightly in the red. So that was close to a 20% swing from top to bottom in 24 hours. Thought about it and decided to buy more shares, and an hour later it's only at -3% for the day, so there's a quick nice gain for the newly bought shares. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/29/20 3:10:49 PM #474 | Ok, I like what he's saying. Not worried about inflation - thinks we are facing more deflationary forces than inflationary forces. Not even thinking about raising interest rates or reducing credit facilities, thinks that won't happen for a long time. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/29/20 3:04:51 PM #472 | Jay Powell is speaking. Come on, announce more quantitative easing! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/29/20 1:56:39 PM #470 | I kinda suspect Donald Trump owns some Kodak shares. As I understand it, the STOCK Act does not apply to the President or Vice President, so they are allowed to do insider trading based on their knowledge of government, as long as they don't have inside knowledge of the corporate side. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/29/20 1:33:44 PM #467 | How does CAR go up 10% on a great earnings report and lose ALL of the gains in 3 hours of trading with no news? While none of the days have been particularly awful, this is looking like it could be the 5th red day in a row for me which doesn't feel good. I feel like every day my stocks open fine, usually up, and then fall during the day. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/29/20 12:43:20 PM #464 | Wow Kodak. Forget about 500%. This is currently sitting at a 1170% gain since the close on Monday. It looks like it touched +2190% earlier today before coming back down. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/29/20 9:00:40 AM #462 | Kodak up 500% in 2 days on news that they are getting into the pharmaceutical business and have secured a $760 million loan from the government for drug research. This feels like Long Island Iced Tea's rebranding of itself to Long Blockchain. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/28/20 11:51:09 PM #461 | Yeah KDP earnings is Thursday. So is BC (Brunswick Corporation), which makes boats. ELY (Callaway Golf) is also coming up soon. Hard choices on what to buy. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/28/20 11:14:41 PM #459 | I'm looking to buy Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP). The Keurig side of the company was formerly known as Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) and was a fast growth bubble stock a few years back. They make coffee machines so you can make coffee at home. I think that's going to be a hit with all the people who are going to be working from home permanently, or at least indefinitely. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/28/20 5:21:16 PM #456 | Good call on Big Five! Yeah, people are doing more outdoors stuff now that all the indoors stuff is closed or unsafe- I should have thought of that. CAR not as strong as that monster +55% after-hour gain but now at +11% so very happy I held through earnings. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/28/20 4:54:01 PM #454 | Now there's an earnings release! +8% after hours. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/28/20 4:45:10 PM #453 | Looks like the cabin reveal for SpaceshipTwo was a dud in that the stock went down 7% afterward. Buy the hype, sell the news, I suppose. I'm in SPCE for the long haul though, and it was probably overdue for a pullback after the past couple weeks. Nervously awaiting the CAR earnings release. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/27/20 7:16:20 PM #443 | A majority of House members said they support extending payroll assistance to airlines for 6 more months. As a DAL shareholder, I strongly support this plan. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/24/20 9:43:04 AM #435 | Tech routing hard. Amazon back down to 2900, Tesla down below 1400. Finally! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/24/20 1:10:50 AM #432 | Leafeon13N posted... They have learned to monotize beyond gambling. But their other revenue streams are largely conventions, conferences, and clubs. Those are even deader than casino gambling right now. I think LVS reporting revenue (not profit, revenue) down 97% says it all. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 7:15:10 PM #428 | But regarding casinos: even before coronavirus, this was an industry with little to no growth. The all-time best 2 years for Nevada gambling revenue were......2007 and 2006. After 12 years, the industry still had not recovered to the 2007 peak. In Macau it peaked in 2013 and had not recovered to there by 2019. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Election 2020 Statistics and Discussion |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 3:46:35 PM #38 | Trump's polling has gotten markedly better. Biden's lead in the 538 average is down to 7.9%. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 3:18:12 PM #426 | Moonroof posted... When is WYNN buyable again When it gets cheap enough that Steve can buy back a controlling stake in the company and the Nevada regulators let him. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 2:11:38 PM #419 | Market suddenly got clobbered the last hour. I went from a pretty solid green day into a somewhat red day. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 1:09:24 PM #415 | I'm looking at ways to bet against ERI/CZR. It's hard to imagine this newly merged company not going bankrupt. A small casino operator takes on mountains of debt to buy a much bigger casino operator with even bigger mountains of debt on its books. This happens during the middle of a pandemic but includes some cash payouts that were negotiated last year when CZR was a more valuable business. Now we find that despite reopening, there is almost no demand in Vegas. People focus on gambling of course but the convention and club businesses are probably faring even worse. And, even worse, they no longer own many of the properties - those were spun off into VICI Properties during CZR's last bankruptcy. So now ERI/CZR is paying rent to VICI Properties so they can operate Caesars Palace, for instance. Mountains of debt, not much in assets, very little revenue coming in as long as coronavirus is here. Even when it's over, I think a lot of the business might not return - people have figured out ways to do business remotely without conventions and conferences, and people can gamble on stocks/options or sports online. I don't want to short the stock as that has a finite gain and an infinite potential loss, but the option premiums for puts look pretty expensive. Guess I'm not the only one who feels this way about this company. Maybe I'll buy long term ITM puts to try to replicate shorting the stock without the unlimited risk. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 12:43:01 PM #411 | masterplum posted... Im heavy in casino stocks I'm surprised they aren't down more after that LVS earnings report yesterday. Revenue was down a staggering 97%. It means that while Macau was open and Vegas was open for 1 month out of 3, they may as well have been closed for all the money they were bringing in. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 12:24:28 PM #407 | Moonroof posted... Very true. I am very lucky actually that I sold it for only $9k loss. More like we long-suffering airline shareholders (well, a month and a half is long-suffering in this topic I guess) are lucky you sold. But you know what's going to make airlines obsolete in 15 years? SPCE! Look at that stock go! Another +5% today. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 1:11:03 AM #451 | HeroDelTiempo17 posted... I know this topic frowns upon the "trump bad" tweets and clips but I very much enjoyed this particular ramble. Surely this is among his best work If it's 5 objects it's actually much harder than it sounds. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/23/20 12:11:11 AM #446 | KamikazePotato posted... Biden is the perfect COVID climate candidate as long as he sits back the next two months. Bernie would have been a great one too due to how on-brand his message is for the times, but he would be taking Trump to task basically every day, and it would make conservatives want to 'fight back'. Biden sitting back allows conservatives to be forced to observe Trump self-destructive entirely on his own. Essentially, Biden Wins By Doing Absolutely Nothing. That was exactly Hillary's strategy. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 11:58:24 PM #443 | I still feel Trump is the favorite for the same reason. Biden can't run this stay invisible campaign forever. Democrats need someone to vote for, Republicans just need someone to vote against. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 11:49:12 PM #439 | There was a raft of polls showing improvement for Trump today. Biden's lead on the 538 polling average is down to 7.7% after being over 9% for ages. Based on last time, the popular vote breakeven point is around 4%. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 11:42:35 PM #388 | LK, NIO, INO, and NKLA are not penny stocks. They all have a market cap of multiple billions or had it in the recent past. Also no one in this topic is a day trader. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 11:25:53 PM #385 | Nanis23 posted... I don't short stocks. Ever. at best I buy some SQQQ or PSQ. But never taking the chance of losing plenty of money Honestly.....people who are inclined to panic sell stocks are probably going to lose money no matter what. If you find that you cannot resist the urge to panic sell or the urge to buy just because it's in the middle of a moonshot up you're probably going to lose money. Best thing if your decisionmaking is governed by fear and greed is to let someone else manage your money. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 11:09:35 PM #384 | If anyone is confused, the ticker symbol ERI is now CZR. If you owned a share of ERI, you now have a share of CZR. If you had a pre-merger share of CZR, you should now have some amount of cash and a fractional share of the new CZR (which is the old ERI). It's weird they kept the CZR symbol even though ERI is the surviving company, but I think it's because CZR is a bigger and more well known company. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 10:58:26 PM #437 | CaptainOfCrush posted... There are gambling sites for this, right? I'd seriously consider a 3-way parlay of Biden/Dem House/Dem Senate if the GOP strings along unemployment benefits and allows millions of middle class suburban voters to actually suffer financially. So you won't be able to get a parlay like this to work in a prediction market (or regular financial market) anything like they do in sports. That's because those things are not independent events. They are highly correlated, and the market knows it. My guess is the 3-way parlay, if it's offered, will pay barely better than Dem Senate alone. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 10:53:59 PM #436 | Edit: I misread it. It wasn't 1:1000 odds, I think they meant bet $1000 to win $100. In that case, it's not a bad bet at all. I'm looking at PredictIt now, and they have Hillary at 5% to win the nomination and Biden at 93%. Best offer for betting against Hillary is 96 cents. So yeah, if you are feeling confident, you can put up $96 to win $4. Or put up $93 to win $7 with Biden. I think a big part of those odds involve the chance of Biden dying or having serious health problems. He's gonna be the oldest nominee ever and there's a pandemic going around so I wouldn't say the odds are unreasonable. Don't see much of an advantage in playing those odds myself. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 10:49:40 PM #435 | LordoftheMorons posted... Arent there transaction costs that would make you lose money regardless of the outcome given the extremely low payout? I don't think so. Unless you mean that the 1:1000 payout is worse than putting the money in a high yield savings account. But hey, given that we're only a little over 3 months away, it's not much worse, and if you put it in a savings account the bank could go under. And the FDIC. Is that less likely, or is Hillary being the nominee less likely? That's for you to decide. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 10:16:03 PM #426 | Corrik7 posted... With Biden and the house being a lock, I can't imagine getting too much money on this besides the Senate odds driving it up Biden is only at 63% on PredictIt. Trump is at 40% BTW - the spread is where PredictIt makes money presumably. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 10:14:17 PM #425 | Yeah, if you feel Hillary being the nominee is so impossible, go ahead and bet against it. Most likely you're right and the people betting on her to be the nominee are wrong, but you'll lose a lot if you're wrong. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 5:21:44 PM #379 | Nanis23 posted... TSLA rising in After Hours while Microsoft dropping You know the proverb. "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." In other words don't ever try to short a bubble stock like TSLA or GNUS. The bubble will eventually burst but if you short it you'll probably lose your house first. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 5:19:23 PM #377 | Peace___Frog posted... Republicans have done an incredible job of pitting the poor against the very poor, haven't they They are really good at their art. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 5:07:00 PM #377 | LVS reports a 97% revenue drop in Q2. Wow! And they're diversified between 3 markets (Vegas, Macau, Singapore). Looks like all 3 of them got wrecked. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 4:39:25 PM #375 | Tesla turned a profit. Above $1700 we go. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 311: Ye says Nay |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 4:23:57 PM #371 | Corrik7 posted... This unemployment boost shit has me in all kinds of feels right now. Well you know why they are doing it this way - why they always do it this way - it's to get maximum leverage by putting the Democrats up against a deadline. Then they hand them a bill on the last day and say either you pass our bill or we go over the cliff. And because the Democrats are spineless wimps, they'll agree to the bill, just like they always do. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 2:44:43 PM #373 | Honestly at this point AAL should upgrade you to first class every flight. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Topic | Stock Topic 8 |
| red sox 777 07/22/20 2:10:41 PM #371 | Chris you must have some ridiculous amount of AAL shares by now. Oh AAL earnings is tomorrow morning isn't it? Good luck! --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! |
| Board List |