Lurker > Antifar

What in the Jack Bauer happened to your brain?

This feels like it should go in the Elon general and not the Israel/Palestine general
https://bsky.app/profile/eladn.bsky.social/post/3kd5vlxxbt422

wanderingshade posted...

It's just really frustrating to see a minority voting group go from 1.8 million to like 400,000 because of something that could have happened at any time under any president.

Now imagine seeing the population of Gaza make that same decline.

The rules of war are pretty clear that "it would be inconvenient not to" is not a good justification for killing civilians

His views on white genocide and his views on capitalism are entirely compartmentalized. If your basic worldview is "everything should benefit me, personally," you don't have to deal with the nasty intersections of how things affect other people.

A poll is not an election. You can make the moral calculus lesser evil arguments when it comes to entering a voting booth, but we're a year away from anyone doing that. When asked if they approve of the job being done by the guy currently abetting genocide, should Americans of any ethnicity say yes?

Garioshi posted...

In Tales of Arise, a character named Zephyr says "we have an ace up our sleeve" several times despite the fact that playing cards do not exist, and even if they did, he is a slave that never would have had the opportunity to with them. Any other glaring examples of shit like this?

I could've sworn someone in that same game says "under my radar"

I finished Pale Fire, by Vladimir Nabokov today. A fantastic book from the concept and structure all the way down to the diction and flow of individual sentences.

DnDer posted...

As long as they're around, he can gesture and say, "See? Imagine how much worse it'd be without me. Only I can keep you safe!"

Israelis have noticed, though, that he didn't keep them safe.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/most-israelis-think-netanyahu-responsible-failing-prevent-hamas-attack-poll-2023-10-20/

At the risk of minimizing the skill involved even at this level of the sport: maybe the reason you haven't seen something like this is because you aren't typically watching British hockey.

What would a criminal charge accomplish here?

This is what happens when you elect a himbo

nocturnal_traveler posted...

the way it was"

The term you're looking for is status quo ante. A different thing!

Conservatives are in favor of hierarchies, not the status quo.

Cuts to the IRS are not offsetting increases to spending. The IRS generates like $10 for every dollar spent on it.

Update: they've reached a deal with GM
https://bsky.app/profile/moreperfectunion.bsky.social/post/3kcxxpytaih2p

Wisconsin

My girlfriend and I are gonna be looking for a place together in the new year. I'm lucky that she's in a situation where the money really isn't an issue, because currently I'm paying $900 a month to live with four roommates and even that strains my budget.

Bump

Term limits do not discriminate between good legislators and bad ones.

wackyteen posted...

Yeah, hence why they draw lines with precision through existing counties to capture minority populations of the county into districts.

If they have to play an entire county into a mix of other counties, it can hinder their attempts to draw 'safe' districts.

To give you an example of the math quickly becoming unworkable:
NY has 26 congressional districts. About 12% of the population lives in Brooklyn.

You know why

hockeybub89 posted...

Then let's elect 10 year olds to 30 year terms. We're undemocratic for not allowing such

You're usually smart

wackyteen posted...

Then let's mandate districts have to adhere to existing county lines.

Counties have wildly different populations.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/news/uaw-escalates-strike-against-lone-holdout-gm-after-landing-tentative-pacts-with-stellantis-and-ford/ar-AA1j3aT4

The United Auto Workers union has widened its strike against General Motors, the lone holdout among the three Detroit automakers, after reaching a tentative contract agreement with Jeep maker Stellantis.

The escalated walkout began Saturday evening at a Spring Hill, Tennessee plant, GM's largest in North America, just hours after the Stellantic deal was reached. Its nearly 4,000 workers join about 14,000 already striking at GM factories in Texas, Michigan and Missouri.

The UAW did not immediately explain what prompted the new action after 44 days of targeted strikes. The added pressure on GM is substantial as Spring Hill makes engines for vehicles assembled in a total of nine plants as far afield as Mexico, including Silverado and Sierra pickups. One plant already on strike it supplies with engines, in Arlington Texas, makes full-size SUVs including the Tahoe and Suburban. Vehicles assembled at Spring Hill include the electric Cadillac Lyriq, GMC Acadia and Cadillac crossover SUVs.

The Spring Hill walkout affects so much of GMs production that the company is likely to settle quickly or close down most production, said Erik Gordon, a University of Michigan business professor. The union wants to wrap negotiations with all three automakers so "Ford and Stellantis workers dont vote down (their) tentative agreements because they want to see what GM workers get.

The Stellantis deal mirrors one reached last week with Ford, and saves jobs at a factory in Belvidere, Illinois, that Stellantis had planned to close, the UAW said.

GM said it was disappointed with the additional strike at the Spring Hill plant, which has 11 million square feet of building space, in light of the progress we have made. It said in a statement that is has bargained in good faith and wants a deal as soon as possible.

In a statement, UAW President Shawn Fain lamented what he called GMs unnecessary and irresponsible refusal to come to a fair agreement.

Everybodys really fired up and excited, Spring Hill assembly line worker Larry Montgomery said by phone on Sunday. He said workers were taken by surprise by the strike call. We thought it was going to happen earlier.
UAW Local 1853 President John Rutherford in Spring Hill didnt immediately return a telephone message.

Fain said in a video appearance Saturday night that 43,000 members at Stelantis would have to vote on the deal just as Ford workers must. About 14,000 UAW workers had been on strike at two Stellantis assembly plants in Michigan and Ohio, and several parts distribution centers across the country. The company makes Jeep and Ram vehicles.

The pact includes 25% in general wage increases over the next 4 1/2 years for top assembly plant workers, with 11% coming once the deal is ratified. Workers also will get cost-of-living pay that would bring the raises to a compounded 33%, with top assembly plant workers making more than $42 per hour. At Stellantis, top-scale workers now make around $31 per hour.

Like the Ford contract, the Stellantis deal would run through April 30, 2028.

Under the deal, the union said it saved jobs in Belvidere as well at an engine plant in Trenton, Michigan, and a machining factory in Toledo, Ohio.

We have reopened an assembly plant that was closed, Fain said. The deal includes a commitment by Stellantis to build a new midsize combustion-engine truck at the Belvidere factory that was slated to be closed. About 1,200 workers will be hired back, plus another 1,000 workers will be added for a new electric vehicle battery plant, the union said.

Vice President Rich Boyer, who led the Stellantis talks, said the workforce will be doubled at the Toledo, Ohio, machining plant. The union, he said, won $19 billion worth of investment across the U.S.

Fain said Stellantis had proposed cutting 5,000 U.S. jobs, but the union's strike changed that to adding 5,000 jobs by the end of the contract.

Gordon, the University of Michigan professor, said the Stellantis deal shows that the car companies feel they are at the mercy of the UAW, that the UAW is not going to give any mercy, and that companies will be co-governed by their boards and the UAW.

He said competing companies with non-unionized workforces, which include Toyota and Tesla, couldn't have gotten a better year-end gift.

Under the Stellantis contract, a top-scale assembly plant worker's base wage will exceed all increases in the past 22 years. Starting wages for new hires will rise 67% including cost-of-living adjustments to over $30 per hour, it said in a statement. Temporary workers will get raises of more than 165%, while workers at parts centers will get an immediate 76% increase if the contract is ratified.

Like the Ford agreement, it will take just three years for new workers to get to the top of the assembly pay scale, the union said.

The union also won the right to strike over plant closures at Stellantis, and can strike if the company doesnt meet product and investment commitments, Fain said.

Bruce Baumhower, president of the local union at a large Stellantis Jeep factory in Toledo, Ohio, that has been on strike since September, said he expects workers will vote to approve the deal because of the pay raises above 30% and a large 11% raise immediately. Its a historic agreement as far as Im concerned.

Some union members had complained that Fain promised 40% raises to match what he said was given to company CEOs, but Baumhower said that was merely an opening bid.

"Ultimately, the numbers they did come to agree with is what the UAW wanted, said Jermaine Antwine, a 48-year-old Stellantis worker who had been picketing the automakers Sterling Heights, Michigan, plant Saturday. A team leader in materials at the plant, the Pontiac, Michigan man has has 24 years with the automaker.

Negotiations between the UAW and Stellantis had intensified Thursday, the day after the Ford deal was announced.

The union began targeted strikes against all three automakers on Sept. 15 after its contracts with the companies expired. At the peak, about 46,000 workers were on strike against all three companies, about one-third of the unions 146,000 members at the Detroit three.

With the Ford deal, which set a template for the other two companies, workers with pensions will see small increases when they retire, and those hired after 2007 with 401(k) plans will get large increases.

Other union leaders who followed aggressive bargaining strategies in recent months have also secured pay hikes and other benefits for their members. Last month, the union representing Hollywood writers called off a nearly five-month strike after scoring some wins in compensation, length of employment and other areas.

Solidarity works

Term limits are bad policy that do not accomplish the goals people want

A lack of understanding and a desire for it not to be the case are two different things.

Savoots posted...

, I dunno but I don't just see this type of thing on right wing sites or whatever because I don't even go to places like that.

Do you go on Twitter?

Godbe-Bryant posted...

I'm guessing the health ministry in Hamas-ruled Gaza is not a reliable source for death count.

Independent experts disagree.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/26/can-we-trust-casualty-figures-from-the-hamas-run-gaza-health-ministry

Others say the ministry has a track record of reliable casualty figures and that it has fallen victim to the propaganda war as Israel seeks to minimise the consequences of its hundreds of bombing raids on Gaza.

In the past, the US state departments annual human rights report indirectly relied on the same ministrys casualty figures in quoting UN statistics drawn from Palestinian data.

Omar Shakir, the Israel and Palestine director at Human Rights Watch, said he saw no evidence that the numbers were being manipulated.

We have been monitoring human rights abuses in the Gaza Strip for three decades, including several rounds of hostilities. Weve generally found the data that comes out of the ministry of health to be reliable, he said.

When we have done our own independent investigations around particular strikes, and weve compared those figures against those from the health ministry, there havent been major deviations.

Their numbers generally are consistent with what were seeing on the ground in recent days. There have been hundreds of airstrikes per day in one of the most densely populated areas of the world.

Weve looked at satellite imagery. Weve seen the number of buildings, and the numbers that are coming out are in line with what we would expect with what were seeing on the ground. So you put all those things together and were quite confident in the overall casualty numbers.

Police do not prevent crime.

The baby had a wife?

Idk, this narrative feels a little self-serving, especially when you consider what Romney's political goals are. Is the Republican Party really full of elected officials who were ready to impeach Trump if only there weren't threats to their family's safety? Or are they what their public actions reflect?

Playing Wonder gives me so many ideas for Mario Maker that mostly don't need the assets. Just a different approach and concept of what levels can be.

12-11 in favor of South Africa, who are up a man due to a first half red card. Tense final 20 minutes ahead

emblem-man posted...

But theft has increased, correct?

No, not really
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/09/26/organized-retail-crime-and-theft-not-increasing-much-nrf-study-finds.html

External theft, which includes organized retail crime, was again reported as the largest source of shrink last year at 36.15%, but that was slightly below 37% in 2021. Internal theft, or goods stolen by employees, rose slightly to 28.85% from 28.5% in 2021. Process and control failures and errors made up 27.29% of shrink in 2022, up from 25.7% the year prior.
...
Retail shrink climbed in absolute dollars, but when reported as a percentage of sales as is commonly done, average annual shrink increased to 1.57%, up from 1.44% in 2021. The share is largely in line with past years. Average annual shrink was 1.62% of sales before the pandemic in 2019, though it was as low as 1.33% in 2017, according to previous surveys.

emblem-man posted...

Punishing organized retail theft should be done though. Don't need to bring harsher penalties to it, just enforce the current penalties. It's just bad socially to have visible organized theft

These extent to which these things are "organized" is also exaggerated by retailers. This podcast goes into the ways these claims have been manufactured out of really shoddy data and plain old bullshit
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-organized-retail-crime-panic-teaser/id1651876897?i=1000632676408

I get like 90 percent of this sport, but the throw ins baffle me

Northlane posted...

Who cares if they're overstating it? There SHOULD be harsher penalties.

Harsher penalties do not work

Antifar posted...

In early research on the topic in 2017, Pew Charitable Trusts examined crime trends in 30 states that raised their felony theft thresholds between 2000 and 2012. Pew found that raising the threshold had no impact on overall property crime or larceny rates.

Are there any other lies you believe we should base ineffective policy on?

https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/27/business/crime-spree-retailers-are-actually-overstating-the-extent-of-theft-report-says/index.html

Retailers say theft is exploding, and some data from retailers along with numerous videos of violent store robberies and looting seem to support the claim.

But some retail analysts and researchers, bolstered by local crime statistics, say stores may be over-stating the extent and impact of theft. Why? Its a useful deflection, camouflaging weak demand, mismanagement and other issues denting business right now. And it forces lawmakers to respond.

Across the country, the actual increase in rates of theft at stores does not correspond to the increase in company commentary and actions on theft, according to a new report by retail analysts at William Blair. Retailers are increasingly vocal on the subject, in part to draw out government action, the analysts wrote.

To be sure, theft is impacting retailers much more than it was before the pandemic. Thats because theft has also gotten more visible and more violent, retailers say, and has put employee safety at risk in some cases.

But a host of other issues, from inflation to rising costs, are impacting retailers, too. Theft is just one of many structural issues chains are facing, most notably the shift to online shopping and over-expansion of brick-and-mortar retail.

Companies are also likely using the opportunity to draw attention away from lower profit margins due to higher promotions and poor inventory planning in recent quarters, William Blair retail analysts Dylan Carden and Phillip Blee said in a report this week. Many retailers misjudged how much merchandise they needed to carry and now have a glut.

The analysts noted that overall shrink merchandise losses due to external and internal theft, damaged products, inventory mismanagement and other errors makes up just 1.5% to 2% of retailers sales. That percentage has remained steady for years, despite retailers sounding the alarm more than ever about theft.

The National Retail Federation said that retailers losses, known as shrink, increased 19% last year to $112 billion, based on a survey of 177 retailers. But shrink as a percentage of sales fell during the height of the pandemic as stores temporarily closed and grew in 2022 as stores re-opened.

This hit to profits is relatively small and fleeting not reason enough alone to close stores according to the analysts. At nine major retailers that have increasingly cited the rising impact of theft, shrink as a percentage of sales increased just 0.4% in 2022, they found.
...
Alex Vitale, a professor of sociology at Brooklyn College who studies policing, said business leaders had turned retail theft into a moral panic to mobilize a stronger police and criminal justice response.

It shows us the way certain crimes in certain moments get mobilized far beyond their impact to play into a set of political and social debates, he said.
...
One analysis by journalist Judd Legum at Popular Information found that the stores Target is closing in both New York and San Francisco had lower reported theft rates compared to other nearby locations.

We believe companies like Target could indeed be using the current narrative around shrink to take broader action in lagging parts of their business, the William Blair analysts said. We have to acknowledge potentially ulterior, more opportunistic motives. Target could be using shrink to mask other issues, including poor inventory management, which came to a head in 2022 following supply chain disruption and is closing stores to boost overall margins.
Target has not shared data about those store closures directly. A Target spokesperson said that organized retail crime increased 50% in its stores since 2021. The company also said that theft incidents involving violence or threats had grown.

Other retailers strategies, such as self-checkout and low staffing levels, have also unintentionally made shrink worse. Costco management said this year that shrink increased in part we believe due to the rollout of self-checkout.

Five Below said that shrink at stores with more self-checkout lanes was higher. The company plans to increase the number of staffed cash registers in new stores.

Meanwhile, businesses are pushing for tougher criminal penalties on thieves and asking for police and prosecutors to crack down on theft.

They have called for local and state government to more aggressively prosecute organized retail crime, lower the dollar thresholds for theft to rise to a felony, and reverse policies to eliminate cash bail.

According to the Chamber of Commerce, 12 states have created new statutes, revised existing statutes, or created enhanced penalties for organized retail crime.

But its not clear that lowering the thresholds for felony theft is an effective deterrence.

In early research on the topic in 2017, Pew Charitable Trusts examined crime trends in 30 states that raised their felony theft thresholds between 2000 and 2012. Pew found that raising the threshold had no impact on overall property crime or larceny rates.

I imagine a lot of the responses ITT will sarcastically feign surprise, but it is important to have data and evidence behind even beliefs that seem straightforwardly obvious.

I think it's delightful. I liked NSMBU, but it felt like Nintendo was really just trying to replicate 2D Mario of the past. Wonder brings so many new ideas to the table

DrizztLink posted...

Shoulda cast David Finchest.

Now that's funny, but he's the director, not the actor, so I do have to take a couple points off for accuracy.

Here's a trailer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5S7FR_HCg9g

I enjoyed it, but felt like it was missing a little something more.

Protestors blocking road near Israeli ministry of defense:
https://twitter.com/OrenZiv_/status/1718307398463402402

Protest calling for a ceasefire at Grand Central Station in NY https://twitter.com/IfNotNowOrg/status/1718032951936467229

A guy who was once the world's richest man has some thoughts
https://bsky.app/profile/climatebrad.hillheat.com/post/3kcqq3isabr25

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/user_image/5/7/6/AAWHm8AAE-vo.jpg

TimeForAction posted...

Swedish fish

The worst answer so far

BloodMoon7 posted...

I don't watch movies.

This topic isn't for you, and frankly, very little is.