Lurker > Jakyl25

HaRRicH posted...

Paratroopa1 posted...

30% chance of Trump getting re-elected is really horrible odds

17% on making it to election and losing are good odds depending on what that means (does that include the chances of losing a primary?)

I mean, Donald had about a 30% chance last year too didn't he? I'll take the bet that he loses (if he makes it there) and we're years away, but.....

But do you think, as current markets do, that he's more likely to not ride out his full first term at all?
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Could be a good value bet then!

Lot of money coming in on 2018 as the year he leaves office though.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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It just means 17% chance of making it to 2021 in office

EDIT: Making it to 2021 in office but not being re-elected, I mean
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Also this immigration shit is an atrocity and something to throw back at anyone who tried to defend Trump's bigotry with "he's fine with immigrants from anywhere as long as they do it the right way!"
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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FWIW, oddsmakers right now have it at 53% he doesn't even survive this term

But then 30% that he gets re-elected

Only a 17% chance he makes it to the election and loses, lol

EDIT: By "survive" I mean hold office, not literally survive, although chance of death is also factored in.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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I feel like they're trying to ride it out to the midterms

If the midterms go okay (as in they keep power in both houses even if they lose some seats) then they suck it up and see where the wind is blowing in 2020

If they get creamed in 2018 they might even impeach and remove him during the lame duck period <_<

Or else we'll get to a point where Dems control the House in 2019, GOP wants him impeached, and now DEMOCRATS won't do it because they want them to own their endorsements of him.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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BowserCuffs posted...

The White House is a dump!?

How spoiled rotten do you have to be to reach that conclusion!?

Well it's not literally plated in gold I guess.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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This is kind of the thing with the original Birth of a Nation.

Sickening subject matter but important advances in the art make it seminal
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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EndOfDiscOne posted...

Trump always takes a cart and a caddie, whom he pays well. He insists on driving. Recent footage that showed him navigating his cart across a green at his club in Bedminster, N.J., generated horror in the golf press, but this is old news at Trump's clubs, where he has been known to drive onto tee boxes too.

WTF

This is blasphemous
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Also how fucking sad is it that they have to do that for a bill with massive bipartisan support?
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Oh maybe.

I was just extrapolating on my own based on the dates
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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scarletspeed7 posted...

Does TNA have a PPV coming up soon? I thought they said something about Destination X on last week's episode.

GFW only does two actual PPVs per year. The rest are old PPV names used for special episodes of Impact
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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It's been 5 days since Trump got the Russian sanctions bill

In 5 more days it's a pocket veto unless Congress stays in session to counter it
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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https://twitter.com/peteralexander/status/892497170754097152

Trump says he has to visit his golf courses and resorts so often because the White House is "a dump."

LOL
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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So this is weird: Tillerson's office is turning down funding to combat Russian propaganda

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/02/tillerson-isis-russia-propaganda-241218

One Tillerson aide, R.C. Hammond, suggested the money is unwelcome because any extra funding for programs to counter Russian media influence would anger Moscow, according to a former senior State Department official.

...isn't that the point? I'm wondering how much I was actually kidding about the whole puppet thing
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Not_an_Owl posted...

Jakyl25 posted...

Not war

are you reeeeeeeeeeeeeeeally sure about that

Well I guess SephG wants boots on the ground in Iran, Syria, and North Korea simultaneously
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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No, the puppet does not make deals with the puppeteer
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Not war
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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CybrMonkey posted...

Jakyl25 posted...

They've just decided to roll with the idea that the third hour is the least viewed

Isn't it only a difference of 250K or so? If that's the planned quality of the third hour going forward why would anyone continue watching it?

Maybe they are secretly trying to kill it off because they hate having to do it
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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PrivateBiscuit1 posted...

Why was the main event not the triple threat?

They've just decided to roll with the idea that the third hour is the least viewed
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/01/trump-wall-street-journal-interview-full-transcript-241214

This is very long but fascinating full transcript of a WSJ interview with Trump

Some choice excerpts for this topic to discuss:

TRUMP: The truth is the people I care most about are the middle-income people in this country who have gotten screwed. And this upward revision, it’s going to be on high-income people.

You know, I was with Bob Kraft the other night. He came to have dinner with me. He’s a friend of mine. And as he left, he said, Donald, don’t worry about the rich people. Tax the rich people. You got to take care of the people in the country. It was a very interesting statement. I feel the same way.

Let's hold him to this!

WSJ: You mentioned the Iran deal, but it’s been certified as in compliance twice now. It comes up again in September. Would you – is there going to come a point where you just –

TRUMP: Well, we’re doing major studies. Oh, I would be very surprised if they will be – look, we’ve been extremely nice to them. We’ve been extremely nice to them in saying they were compliant, OK? We’ve given them the benefit of every doubt. But we’re doing very detailed studies. And personally, I have great respect for my people. If it was up to me, I would have had them noncompliant 180 days ago.

WSJ: Do you expect them to be declared noncompliant the next time?

TRUMP: Personally, I do. I do.

WSJ: In September?

TRUMP: I think they’ll be noncompliant. I think they’re taking advantage of this country. They’ve taken advantage of a president, named Barack Obama, who didn’t know what the hell he was doing. And I do not expect that they will be compliant.

WSJ: Will you overrule your staff on that, if they come back with a recommendation –

TRUMP: Oh, sure. Sure. Look, I have a lot of respect for Rex and his people, good relationship. It’s easier to say they comply. It’s a lot easier. But it’s the wrong thing. They don’t comply. And so we’ll see what happens. I mean, we’ll talk about this subject in 90 days. But, yeah, I would be – I would be surprised if they were in compliance.

Emphasis mine

What
the
fuck

WSJ: So Sessions has recused himself, but is Bob Mueller’s job safe? There is speculation –

TRUMP: No, we’re going to see. I mean, I have no comment yet, because it’s too early. But we’ll see. We’re going to see. Here’s the good news: I was never involved with Russia. There was nobody in the campaign. I’ve got 200 people that will say that they’ve never seen anybody on the campaign. Here’s another – he was involved early. There’s nobody on the campaign that saw anybody from Russia. We had nothing to do with Russia. They lost an election and they came up with this as an excuse. And the only ones that are laughing are the Democrats and the Russians. They’re the only ones that are laughing. And if Jeff Sessions didn’t recuse himself, we wouldn’t even be talking about this subject.

LOLLLL

BAKER: You going to veto the Russian sanctions legislation?

TRUMP: Well, I haven’t seen them yet. I haven’t seen them in final form. I will say this, Congress, if they’re going to negotiate, they make the worst deals I’ve ever seen. They made NAFTA. They made – you know, they allowed the Iran deal to go through.

Oh jeez
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-russia-lawyer-exclusive-idUSKBN1AH5F9

Mueller's investigation grows

Most recently a white-collar criminal defense lawyer with New York law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell, Andres, 50, served at the Justice Department from 2010 to 2012. He was deputy assistant attorney general in the criminal division, where he oversaw the fraud unit and managed the program that targeted illegal foreign bribery.

...

Before that, Andres was a federal prosecutor in Brooklyn for over a decade, eventually serving as chief of the criminal division in the U.S. attorney's office there. He prosecuted several members of the Bonanno organized crime family, one of whom was accused of plotting to have Andres killed.

I see he has expertise in the right areas
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Tillerson said, "We certainly don't blame the Chinese for the situation in North Korea."

That's not how Trump makes it sound
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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I find it kind of telling that Corrik is (rightfully, IMO) arguing that "isolated" people vote Republican.

The more you actually have to interact with a diverse group of people, the more liberal you become! Who knew!
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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It would be quite the feat to win by more than -3,000,000.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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When my Grandpa had a seizure, they said it takes a second one before they test for epilepsy, because some not-insignificant portion of the population has an occasional seizure caused by outside factors
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Peace___Frog posted...

Chris Wray confirmed for fbi director.

Those damn obstructionist Democrats are at it again
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Right but that still doesn't get them to 270

I want to know where in the purple/blue States are ideological conservatives actually the majority but choose not to vote?
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Corrik posted...

I am pretty convinced if 100% voting was compulsory and could be possible that republicans would never lose a presidential election ever.

What makes you say that?

What do you think they'd consistently win that they don't as of now?
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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https://twitter.com/chrislhayes/status/892218999664234496

God dammit Hannity PLEASE
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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red sox 777 posted...

Republicans might be convinced to move voting to Saturday. Because Republicans generally believe that most working people vote Republican.

But also like you said earlier, Republicans are far more existentially determined to vote. Democrats are less committed.

Anything that makes voting easier hurts the GOP
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Eddv posted...

banananor posted...

red sox 777 posted...

But you aren't the president of the United States, you don't have a huge team of people researching and briefing you before an important meeting like this one.

The sad part is that the current president of the united states doesn't use any of the information available to him, and instead consistently shouts knee-jerk bullshit that is provably, undeniably untrue

i used to give the benefit of the doubt, but after so many objectively false statements it is difficult to believe

Trump doesn't attend his briefings and can apparently only be assed to read his briefing memos if they are a single page long or have graphs and pictures according to leaks.

There's also the fact that he thinks Putin is more credible than US Intelligence Agencies...
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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I would honestly wager that anyone who posts in these topics knows more about how the US Government functions and about World Affairs than Trump does
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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But he is a fool

There really isn't any documented evidence to the contrary
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Popeye was a Famicom launch title. We should all respect him!
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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red sox 777 posted...

This rhetoric about China being able to rein in North Korea if they wanted to is also highly flattering to China. It's an acknowledgement of their great power status.

I'm sure they are totally flattered by the POTUS undermining their commitment to peace in the region
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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red sox 777 posted...

He would be very poorly informed indeed if a 10 minute explanation of history from the president of China was nearly as informative to him as he made it out to be. That post-meeting statement was probably more flattery than anything else.

What part of Trump's political life has ever led you to believe he is informed?
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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So now we have Trump admitting through his spokeswoman that he helped craft the cover story for his son's meeting with the Russian lawyer, a story that may have held had his son not released the email chain that proved it to be bogus.

Because that's what good fathers do!
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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EndOfDiscOne posted...

Can Trump just go out into the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot someone already? Since that's about what it would take to get him impeached.

I've said this before

But can you IMAGINE being Trump's lawyers watching him constantly confirm everything they work so hard to deny
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Pretty sure they're distributed fairly evenly, except for adults who are well-to-do enough to specifically relocate to a friendlier area
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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https://twitter.com/abbydphillip/status/892452720032055297

WH essentially confirming WaPo story about Don Jr. statement: "The president weighed in just as any father would."

Yeah that's reallllll smart Donald
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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You sure? If 1/3 of the country is Democrat, 10% of people are LGBTQ, and most of those people are Democrat, that's quite a chunk
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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red sox 777 posted...

The left trying to adopt the tactics of the Tea Party I think is doubtful to work because the left, as loud as they are, don't really view Republicans as an existential threat. Their jobs aren't going away, their lifestyle isn't changing, their property isn't being seized, Republicans don't question their right to exist.

Tell that to LGBTQ or Muslim Democrats
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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https://twitter.com/tanner1495/status/892248566164594688

#AUGUST1WARNING
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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TheSultanOfSlam posted...

Von Erichs probably have a very interesting story (Might be more interesting than the harts definitely more fucked up)

That's an interesting comparison. The Hart family is way more fucked up as a unit. The Von Erichs as a unit were a good family that just let the sons run way too wild
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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No Rasmussen bounceback for Trump. Still 39% approval today.

Of course he could say it's 50% if you round it to the nearest quarter
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Does Russia have any particular relationship with NK?
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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I thought Japan wasn't allowed to have any military that could mobilize to invade another country?
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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My opening post is literally about Trump's words about North Korea

I'm not sure what there is to discuss about it though until something actually happens?

If North Korea can actually strike the US and legitimately threatens to do so, I support some form of appropriate military action.

Is this the sort of discussion that would make Corrik happy?
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Corrik posted...

Just wanna remind you that again there is real news going on that you are ignoring for you all to sit in your far left echo chamber and nitpick the administration nonstop.

You really should consider splitting this topic. 1 being news and politics and the other being Liberals criticizing Trump Administration.

= /

It's the Politics Topic, not the World News Topic
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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