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pioverlord

Topics: 2673
Last Topic: 7:22:30pm, 06/14/2024
538 finally put out their election forecast:

Posts: 251
Last Post: 12:35:41pm, 06/14/2024
[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

Yeah, I feel Roe is continuously underweighted in the pundit forecasts. People keep thinking people don't prioritize it/it's faded since 2022, but local elections seem to argue otherwise still.

Another thing is the polls still have a lot of undecided voters. Sometimes, I think people think polls are trying to make a close election on purpose, but I do think there's an element where a lot of people don't want to make a choice until they have to. I have to think when a poll has 10+% undecided, many of those on election day, when they have to fill a bubble, will pick the candidate that appears more reasonable.

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Number of legendary 500 post topics: 35, 500th posts: 34; PiO ATTN: 6
RotM wins 1, LETTEN MY ARROW FLYEN TRUE


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