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Current Events > Turns out polls have been incredibly inaccurate (PEW Research)

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luigi33
03/05/24 3:53:50 PM
#1:


https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/03/05/online-opt-in-polls-can-produce-misleading-results-especially-for-young-people-and-hispanic-adults/

46% of all polls use opt in method. Which is fast and inaccurate which is how polls have been so quickly released weekly. It's especially inaccurate for young and Hispanic people.

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Scardude
03/05/24 3:54:56 PM
#2:


It's used to created vote anxiety. Why go to vote if the polls think the other won? Just a thought.

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Starks
03/05/24 3:56:38 PM
#3:


Edgy teens are skewing polls. I'm shocked.

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CheshireSimper
03/05/24 4:00:50 PM
#4:


It's annoying that they make the implication that their sample is truly random and not opt-in. Different sources of participants, different biases. Aggregation across many different samples helps these types of representativeness biases, which is what most pollsters do anyway.
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#5
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ClayGuida
03/05/24 6:29:52 PM
#6:


Yea, after the mid terms, there were studies coming out showing how polls have been off by the most percentage points since like the 70's.

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#7
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[deleted]
03/05/24 8:02:05 PM
#11:


[deleted]
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Scardude
03/05/24 9:17:55 PM
#8:


If anything, with any data scientist related, it is to identify the trends in certain groups. But actually winning is another story.

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DnDer
03/05/24 9:19:28 PM
#9:


Scardude posted...
It's used to created vote anxiety. Why go to vote if the polls think the other won? Just a thought.

I always thought it was to feed the ravenous appetite of the news cycle monster with the anxiety just being a side effect of trying to keep the clicks coming.

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ThunderTrain
03/05/24 9:21:41 PM
#10:


Pokmon go to the inaccurate polls

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#12
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Dat_Cracka_Jax
03/05/24 9:47:25 PM
#13:


[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

He was a Vivek supporter

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DrizztLink
03/05/24 9:49:36 PM
#14:


Dat_Cracka_Jax posted...
He was a Vivek supporter
He's also an "insurance doctor" who's oddly comfortable with diagnosing public figures over the Internet.

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NightingaleMD
03/05/24 9:53:06 PM
#15:


DrizztLink posted...
He's also an "insurance doctor" who's oddly comfortable with diagnosing public figures over the Internet.

I have eyes

And the title is medical director thank you. Prior authorization, medical necessity, reviewing hospitalizations, all the boring things most docs ignore but honestly better than clinical work imo

Dat_Cracka_Jax posted...
He was a Vivek supporter

Now all about haley

Still hoping she pulls it out at the convention somehow. Or if trump goes to jail first or something. Contrary to what people say I'm conservative but not pro-trump/MAGA at all.

Nothing wrong with changing viewpoints. Politicians demonize "flip flopping" but realistically I'm more suspicious of anyone that gets a polticial viewpoint at age 10 and keeps it until 90


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YellowSUV
03/05/24 9:54:51 PM
#16:


Trump's numbers are way down in today's primaries compared to the polls (he still will obviously win the primaries, but its not a blow out).


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GrandConjuraton
03/05/24 10:06:08 PM
#17:


[LFAQs-redacted-quote]



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Heineken14
03/05/24 10:13:50 PM
#18:


NightingaleMD posted...
And the title is medical director thank you.

Sure, honey. But as the title of GONE,.now that is something I can agree on.

User is not currently an active member.

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Anteaterking
03/05/24 10:34:21 PM
#19:


Even "inaccurate" polls can be useful as long as they're not literally made up.

E.g. a poll that consistently underrates Dems by 10 points is just as useful as one that's always perfect.

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Dudebusters
03/05/24 10:44:49 PM
#20:


NightingaleMD posted...
And the title is medical director thank you.

lmao this is like the fifth time you've changed your job title in like a month

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BunkerBoy
03/05/24 11:16:44 PM
#21:


Fake doctor is SUSPENDED (again)
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misterbum
03/06/24 12:50:35 PM
#22:


BunkerBoy posted...
Fake doctor is SUSPENDED (again)
Whod a thunk it

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