Current Events > Trump is heading for a historic landslide defeat

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divot1338
10/24/20 7:21:56 PM
#101:


DarkRoast posted...
The funny part is that we reached almost 40% of the total 2016 vote prior to that story even coming out
This is the part where their fantasy world conflicting with reality will bite them in the ass.

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harley2280
10/24/20 7:22:43 PM
#102:


Beemo_Season11 posted...
Sigh, people are still using pre-election polls??? Have yall learned nothin?

Another person who doesn't understand what the margin of error is.
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Beemo_Season11
10/24/20 7:24:50 PM
#103:


harley2280 posted...
Another person who doesn't understand what the margin of error is.

Another person that didn't learn nothin
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tiornys
10/24/20 7:26:10 PM
#104:


BadKarma_JT posted...
granted maybe it was fake news and helped cause complacency

https://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2016/10/18/presidential-forecast-updates/newsletter.html

https://ca.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN1322J1
I actually went and fact-checked you on 538, and their model really did have an 89.1% chance of victory for Hillary at one point in... June? July? eh, I'm too lazy to go look again. And then it was in the upper 80% range after the first two debates. The impact of the Comey announcement on the polling is stark.
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Poop2
10/24/20 7:26:35 PM
#105:


Beemo_Season11 posted...
Another person that didn't learn nothin
another alt right troll who doesnt understand nothin
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harley2280
10/24/20 7:28:56 PM
#106:


Beemo_Season11 posted...
harley2280 posted...
Another person who doesn't understand what the margin of error is.

Another person that didn't learn nothin

Because there's nothing for me to learn. Polls have a margin of error. Only an idiot would think polls guarantee anything.
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Tyranthraxus
10/24/20 7:28:58 PM
#107:


tiornys posted...
I actually went and fact-checked you on 538, and their model really did have an 89.1% chance of victory for Hillary at one point in... June? July? eh, I'm too lazy to go look again. And then it was in the upper 80% range after the first two debates. The impact of the Comey announcement on the polling is stark.

There was a 90% "nowcast" forecast immediately after Donald Trump insulted the gold star family at the DNC. So if you look up the date on that comment that's when the projection was.

Note that 538's forecasts were updated daily and tanked right after Comey announced that he was going to look through more emails.

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ktownslayer16
10/24/20 7:35:41 PM
#108:


Surely the 60M votes cast already is bad news for Trump. Higher voter turnout always favours Dems

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tiornys
10/24/20 7:43:58 PM
#109:


ktownslayer16 posted...
Surely the 60M votes cast already is bad news for Trump. Higher voter turnout always favours Dems
It is bad news for Trump, but it's still not certain that he'll lose.
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PrettyBoyMarth
10/24/20 7:51:51 PM
#110:


LightningAce11 posted...
I think every trump supporter should be enrolled in therapy and re-education, so they can be taught how to be decent human beings and shed the awful beliefs they have.

the irony.

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Smashingpmkns
10/24/20 7:52:59 PM
#111:


Dropping off my ballot right now.
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Beemo_Season11
10/24/20 7:58:22 PM
#112:


harley2280 posted...
Because there's nothing for me to learn. Polls have a margin of error. Only an idiot would think polls guarantee anything.

So you're just being delusional, that's a bit worse
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Endgame
10/24/20 8:53:44 PM
#113:


Anyone who thinks a landslide is going to happen in this political climate is delusional.

Anyone who still puts stock in the polls after how badly they got it wrong in 2016 is delusional.
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I may not agree with what you have to say, but I will fight to the death for my right to fight you to the death. -Stephen Colbert
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karmageddon28
10/24/20 9:20:34 PM
#114:


Not going to believe it's over until inauguration day.

Voted Biden in Florida, so I've done my part.
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