Current Events > Let's predict the 5 DLC characters for Smash Ultimate

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Darmik
11/01/18 11:51:31 PM
#51:


dave_is_slick posted...
Darmik posted...
Why would he know about hypothetical Minecraft DLC but not Piranha Plant?

Can't believe I'm about to defend a leak but I gotta be honest. I think the Piranha Plant was not planned at all. I think it was simply a few people messing around, creating it for fun and Sakurai liked it enough to allow them to truly make it, which is why it isn't finished yet and not part of the fighter pass.


Sure I get that. But surely this info would be more common than Minecraft at this stage. Sakurai says they haven't started on the other DLC yet.

Milkman5 posted...

He predicted everything else though.

I'm not saying I 100% believe him, but his source seems legit to me. No one just guesses Simon, Isabelle, Incineroar, and Ken. Plus he has a record of leaking for other games, so he's not a one and done guesser who got lucky. He clearly has real sources.


Incineroar and Ken showed up on boxart didn't it?

So that just leaves Isabelle and Simon Belmont. Isabelle isn't that much of a crazy prediction.
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Menardii
11/01/18 11:51:32 PM
#52:


Milkman5 posted...
I got modded a month ago for making a topic saying the last two characters would be Ken and Incineroar

I wish I screencapped it. Modded for misinformation

Damn straight it got modded for misinformation.

The final two characters were Inineroar and Piranha Plant.
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dave_is_slick
11/01/18 11:51:34 PM
#53:


Milkman5 posted...
I got modded a month ago for making a topic saying the last two characters would be Ken and Incineroar

I wish I screencapped it. Modded for misinformation

To be fair, if you said like it was a fact, I could see why. Flimsy as hell and shouldn't have been modded, but I do see it.
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Milkman5
11/01/18 11:54:34 PM
#54:


Darmik posted...
Incineroar and Ken showed up on boxart didn't it?

So that just leaves Isabelle and Simon Belmont. Isabelle isn't that much of a crazy prediction.


No, they didn't. People said that because Vergeben said only two characters were left in the base game, Ken and Incineroar, then the Box Theory came out where two spots were missing on the box.

At this point, people believed Vergeben had a real source and used this as evidence of him being right.

He didn't piggy back any of his picks off someone else.
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Milkman5
11/01/18 11:55:21 PM
#55:


dave_is_slick posted...
Milkman5 posted...
I got modded a month ago for making a topic saying the last two characters would be Ken and Incineroar

I wish I screencapped it. Modded for misinformation

To be fair, if you said like it was a fact, I could see why. Flimsy as hell and shouldn't have been modded, but I do see it.


I know, it's just funny that the Vergeben Leak was actually true >_>

Menardii posted...

Damn straight it got modded for misinformation.

The final two characters were Inineroar and Piranha Plant.


Well not in the base game.

A fucking plant tho. Lmao
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dave_is_slick
11/01/18 11:58:21 PM
#56:


Milkman5 posted...
Decidueye is a way, way better pick from Gen 7.

It's another Pikachu. The only reason there are three Links is because everyone is in this time.
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Trigg3rH4ppy
11/01/18 11:59:21 PM
#57:


OwlRammer posted...
grinch's dog

Max motherfucker, show some respect
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WilliamPorygon
11/02/18 12:00:57 AM
#58:


1. Axem Red
2. Axem Yellow
3. Axem Pink
4. Axem Black
5. Axem Green
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Darmik
11/02/18 12:01:15 AM
#59:


The box theory seemed to be bang on here

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/234547-super-smash-bros-ultimate/77004221

According to that topic Verg hadn't committed to them being the last two yet. In fact he said there was still a Square-Enix rep left.
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Milkman5
11/02/18 12:03:13 AM
#60:


Darmik posted...
According to that topic Verg hadn't committed to them being the last two yet.


before box theory, he said the last characters were Ken, then Incineroar, then a Square Enix character unveiled later on.

Watch Sora or someone like that be announced at the Game Awards
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#61
Post #61 was unavailable or deleted.
Milkman5
11/02/18 12:05:45 AM
#62:


dude, they added Corrin in Smash 4 as DLC
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Darmik
11/02/18 12:07:09 AM
#63:


Milkman5 posted...
Darmik posted...
According to that topic Verg hadn't committed to them being the last two yet.


before box theory, he said the last characters were Ken, then Incineroar, then a Square Enix character unveiled later on.

Watch Sora or someone like that be announced at the Game Awards


That doesn't answer why he knows about DLC further out than Piranha Plant but nor Piranha Plant.

Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.
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Milkman5
11/02/18 12:08:40 AM
#64:


he posts on gamefaqs

@Vergeben
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Darmik
11/02/18 12:09:51 AM
#65:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/234547-super-smash-bros-ultimate/76870348

Yo turns out he wasn't the first guy to leak Simon.

Only thing unique to him seems to be Minecraft.

Nintendo insiders are weird. Eventually they all end up getting burned. I don't think any have a clean record. Almost makes me think there's a guy in Nintendo who gives some people some reputable info before trolling them.
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masterpug53
11/02/18 12:10:21 AM
#66:


1) The Axem Rangers
2) Dunsparce
3) Porky Pig
4) Paarthurnax
5) Smokey Bear
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Milkman5
11/02/18 12:11:05 AM
#67:


He's not a Nintendo Insider. He leaks all kinds of games
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Tyranthraxus
11/02/18 12:12:03 AM
#68:


Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?
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Darmik
11/02/18 12:24:44 AM
#69:


Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?


Many reasons.
- Knows the right insider to latch onto
- Has a source that was reliable for some things but not others
- Lucky guesses

According to this link here he predicted 'Minecraft representation' all the way back in June so he did get things wrong
https://www.eventhubs.com/news/2018/jun/16/rumor-super-smash-bros-ultimate-has-least-half-dozen-characters-still-be-revealed/

I've seen this routine before. Plenty of Switch insiders got things right up until launch and suddenly everything went to shit.
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Darmik
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dave_is_slick
11/02/18 12:25:41 AM
#70:


Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?

Need to know the exact phrasing used. Very often, it's not what was said but what people wanted it say.
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Milkman5
11/02/18 12:25:54 AM
#71:


Have you ever heard of Gematsu
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Darmik
11/02/18 12:30:08 AM
#72:


dave_is_slick posted...
Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?

Need to know the exact phrasing used. Very often, it's not what was said but what people wanted it say.


Exactly.

If there's enough wiggle room like "well he never said that the Minecraft/Square-Enix rep was gonna be in the base game so they could still be DLC!" it's a lot easier for them to keep their credibility regardless of what happens.

Milkman5 posted...
Have you ever heard of Gematsu


Yes
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Darmik
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Milkman5
11/02/18 12:33:06 AM
#73:


Gematsu had a real source, but his information was outdated. It was only after the game was datamined that people found he was 100% right about everything.

Just because some details are off with Vergeben doesn't mean he doesn't have a real legit source. It could be outdated info, a misinterpretation etc.

The fact that he predicted every character except Piranha Plant and K Rool and the fact that he has a long history of predicting things makes me think his source for smash was legit
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Irony
11/02/18 12:35:38 AM
#74:


Characters no one wanted like half the roster
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TheDurinator
11/02/18 12:36:34 AM
#75:


1. Mythra
2. Edelgard
3. Dovakhin
4. Zeraora
5. Something completely stupid
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Darmik
11/02/18 12:39:50 AM
#76:


Milkman5 posted...
Just because some details are off with Vergeben doesn't mean he doesn't have a real legit source. It could be outdated info, a misinterpretation etc.


How does one misinterpret Minecraft content and a new Square-Enix rep?
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Darmik
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dave_is_slick
11/02/18 12:48:21 AM
#77:


Milkman5 posted...
The fact that he predicted every character except Piranha Plant and K Rool and the fact that he has a long history of predicting things makes me think his source for smash was legit

All of the newcomers were safe picks though.

Splatoon is probably one of Nintendo's biggest games right now so the Inklings were obvious choices.
People wanted Daisy to be her own character instead of a Peach skin for a good while now.
Ridley was always a safe pick despite Sakurai's very flimsy excuse since he's to Samus what Bowser is to Mario.
Simon had a lot of support but I'll be honest with not knowing the specifics of him and Richter since I didn't play any Castlevania.
Chrom was straight up robbed of being in Smash 4 and he had enough support to get a Mii costume in Smash 4.
Dark Samus had a ton of support.
King K. Rool has had a ton of support, to the point that he had a Mii costume in Smash 4.
Isabelle as well had enough support where it was acknowledged as a Mii costume.
Incineroar was probably one of the more popular new pokemon designs since he's a heel wrestler so he was a safe choice.
Ever since they acknowledged Echos and introduced a new one right after, Ken became another obvious choice since he's one of the original echoes!
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Darmik
11/02/18 1:02:33 AM
#78:


Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?


Going back to this he also didn't do what was claimed here either

The actual quote;
From a different source that I have also known to get things right in the short time that I have known them, there will be the return of Ice Climbers and a new Konami rep.... Simon Belmont. They say that they know that Ridley will be revealed at E3. I was even told by them that everyone is coming back from Super Smash Bros. on Wii U and 3DS. That includes all of the guests. But it otherwise will be a new game. Which I found interesting there will infact be no cuts.


Notice anything?

Sure are a lot of technicalities for a reliable leaker.
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Banjo2553
11/02/18 1:04:30 AM
#79:


I'm betting one of them is Elma because there's zero Xenoblade X content in the game which is suspicious.
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Tyranthraxus
11/02/18 1:13:37 AM
#80:


Darmik posted...
Notice anything?

Sure are a lot of technicalities for a reliable leaker.


All of it was correct. The Ridley / E3 timing is also pretty solid. I can buy that he's a safe guess but also knowing he'd specifically be announced at E3 was a huge stretch to fake.
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dave_is_slick
11/02/18 1:16:14 AM
#81:


Darmik posted...
I was even told by them that everyone is coming back from Super Smash Bros. on Wii U and 3DS. That includes all of the guests. But it otherwise will be a new game. Which I found interesting there will infact be no cuts.


dave_is_slick posted...
Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?

Need to know the exact phrasing used. Very often, it's not what was said but what people wanted it say.

Called it. No cuts from Smash 4 is definitely not "Everyone is here!"
---
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Darmik
11/02/18 1:17:18 AM
#82:


Tyranthraxus posted...
All of it was correct. The Ridley / E3 timing is also pretty solid. I can buy that he's a safe guess but also knowing he'd specifically be announced at E3 was a huge stretch to fake.


No. He only specifically said the Wii U/3DS roster was returning. The actual reveal was that EVERYONE was returning. There's a key difference with both of those statements despite being technically correct.

Also it turns out that a GameXplain guy was hinting at Ridley all the way back in March. So that info was out in the wild somewhere.
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dave_is_slick
11/02/18 1:18:01 AM
#83:


Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Notice anything?

Sure are a lot of technicalities for a reliable leaker.


All of it was correct. The Ridley / E3 timing is also pretty solid. I can buy that he's a safe guess but also knowing he'd specifically be announced at E3 was a huge stretch to fake.

I mean is it? We know Prime 4 is in the making. The Inklings were used to reveal Smash Ultimate. While King K. Rool is the most hyped I've ever been for a new character, he's not the one to use for E3. Ridley is.
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Tyranthraxus
11/02/18 1:18:04 AM
#84:


dave_is_slick posted...
Called it. No cuts from Smash 4 is definitely not "Everyone is here!"

Wii and Wii U both cut fighters. Just saying.
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dave_is_slick
11/02/18 1:19:24 AM
#85:


Tyranthraxus posted...
dave_is_slick posted...
Called it. No cuts from Smash 4 is definitely not "Everyone is here!"

Wii and Wii U both cut fighters. Just saying.

Okay? Ultimate cut no one. His words were that everyone is coming back from Smash 4. Not that literally everyone was. Considering that it's kinda the selling point, that's a gigantic thing to not know.
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Tyranthraxus
11/02/18 1:20:07 AM
#86:


dave_is_slick posted...
Tyranthraxus posted...
dave_is_slick posted...
Called it. No cuts from Smash 4 is definitely not "Everyone is here!"

Wii and Wii U both cut fighters. Just saying.

Okay? Ultimate cut no one. His words were that everyone is coming back from Smash 4. Not that literally everyone was.

And my memory sucks, but he's still correct about what he did say.
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Darmik
11/02/18 1:24:22 AM
#87:


https://twitter.com/Stealth___/status/990018281930199040
Simon Belmont was leaked before Verg's post

https://www.resetera.com/threads/super-smash-bros-announced-for-nintendo-switch-2018-inklings-confirmed-link-has-botw-design.28244/page-123
Ridley hinted at before Verg's post

Kinda seems like he does find insider info but he doesn't have an actual way to verify them like most journalists.

As far as I can tell the stuff specific to him (Minecraft content, Square-Enix rep) either hasn't panned out or only technically correct (everyone from Wii U/3DS returning instead of stating that everyone is returning).
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legendarylemur
11/02/18 2:05:42 AM
#88:


Nobody was cut wasn't a prediction exclusive to him. You can actually see a big comprehensive list of leaks somewhere. Nobody in anything predicted that we'd get literally every character back including Snake, Pichu, and Young Link. That's when I stopped looking at anything leak related unless it was super in my face like the Grinch Leak

https://www.ssbwiki.com/list_of_rumors
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Vergeben
11/02/18 10:44:44 AM
#89:


Darmik posted...
Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?


Many reasons.
- Knows the right insider to latch onto
- Has a source that was reliable for some things but not others
- Lucky guesses

According to this link here he predicted 'Minecraft representation' all the way back in June so he did get things wrong
https://www.eventhubs.com/news/2018/jun/16/rumor-super-smash-bros-ultimate-has-least-half-dozen-characters-still-be-revealed/

I've seen this routine before. Plenty of Switch insiders got things right up until launch and suddenly everything went to shit.

I don't use NeoGAF, Twitter, 4chan, and in general if it is not listed in my signature here, any account using my name posing as me, it's not me.

You're free to believe whatever you want because I'm free to tell you that's unfounded speculation on your part.
When it comes to Minecraft, your little theory falls apart because Senjougahara__Hitagi (who has a great track record if you look into them on reddit, and is someone I talk to and crosscheck things with since we have met) has heard the same things for Smash that I have.
The only difference in our information has been them hearing that Steve from Minecraft will be playable and discussions with Cygames were happening to get a Granblue Fantasy character (which seems to be Katalina in particular) into Super Smash Bros. Ultimate.

While I cannot personally back those two things on my end yet from my personal sources, what we can do is consider adding up what I have heard and put out for SSBU combined with what Hitagi heard and has said, which could point us in a direction that reveals that 3 out of the 5 DLC characters seem to be
The Square Enix character. I can vouch is definitely happening and the first DLC character at that

Steve from Minecraft. Minecraft discussions happened that lead to my knowledge that content is planned to be present. I have been told it could be an AT, stage, item, or "possibly" a character. It looks like character, stage, and theme will be how if what Hitagi has heard is accurate. At this point, I do not doubt it much.

Cygames' Granblue Fantasy getting a guest character (Katalina mentioned by name)
This comes from Hitagi as I have said. But they seemed confident that the discussions happened on a serious level.
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If you see me posting elsewhere it's not me.
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Superlinkbro
11/02/18 10:46:05 AM
#90:


Vivi
Doomguy
Leon Kennedy
Nightmare
Banjo
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NeonOctopus
11/02/18 10:48:26 AM
#91:


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Iceboi
11/02/18 11:05:04 AM
#92:


Vergeben posted...
Darmik posted...
Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?


Many reasons.
- Knows the right insider to latch onto
- Has a source that was reliable for some things but not others
- Lucky guesses

According to this link here he predicted 'Minecraft representation' all the way back in June so he did get things wrong
https://www.eventhubs.com/news/2018/jun/16/rumor-super-smash-bros-ultimate-has-least-half-dozen-characters-still-be-revealed/

I've seen this routine before. Plenty of Switch insiders got things right up until launch and suddenly everything went to shit.

I don't use NeoGAF, Twitter, 4chan, and in general if it is not listed in my signature here, any account using my name posing as me, it's not me.

You're free to believe whatever you want because I'm free to tell you that's unfounded speculation on your part.
When it comes to Minecraft, your little theory falls apart because Senjougahara__Hitagi (who has a great track record if you look into them on reddit, and is someone I talk to and crosscheck things with since we have met) has heard the same things for Smash that I have.
The only difference in our information has been them hearing that Steve from Minecraft will be playable and discussions with Cygames were happening to get a Granblue Fantasy character (which seems to be Katalina in particular) into Super Smash Bros. Ultimate.

While I cannot personally back those two things on my end yet from my personal sources, what we can do is consider adding up what I have heard and put out for SSBU combined with what Hitagi heard and has said, which could point us in a direction that reveals that 3 out of the 5 DLC characters seem to be
The Square Enix character. I can vouch is definitely happening and the first DLC character at that

Steve from Minecraft. Minecraft discussions happened that lead to my knowledge that content is planned to be present. I have been told it could be an AT, stage, item, or "possibly" a character. It looks like character, stage, and theme will be how if what Hitagi has heard is accurate. At this point, I do not doubt it much.

Cygames' Granblue Fantasy getting a guest character (Katalina mentioned by name)
This comes from Hitagi as I have said. But they seemed confident that the discussions happened on a serious level.


Vergeben, warum sollte man sie nehmen? Sie ist jetzt nicht besonders gefragt oder beliebt. Hat Hitagi dir noch paar Infos gegeben dazu?
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Alpha218
11/02/18 11:06:24 AM
#93:


Vergeben posted...
Darmik posted...
Tyranthraxus posted...
Darmik posted...
Is this the same Verg who used to post in NeoGAF btw? If it is he is 100% a bullshit artist.

Then can you explain how he accurately leaked every character up to Simon Belmont including the "all characters returning" without a single wrong guess?


Many reasons.
- Knows the right insider to latch onto
- Has a source that was reliable for some things but not others
- Lucky guesses

According to this link here he predicted 'Minecraft representation' all the way back in June so he did get things wrong
https://www.eventhubs.com/news/2018/jun/16/rumor-super-smash-bros-ultimate-has-least-half-dozen-characters-still-be-revealed/

I've seen this routine before. Plenty of Switch insiders got things right up until launch and suddenly everything went to shit.

I don't use NeoGAF, Twitter, 4chan, and in general if it is not listed in my signature here, any account using my name posing as me, it's not me.

You're free to believe whatever you want because I'm free to tell you that's unfounded speculation on your part.
When it comes to Minecraft, your little theory falls apart because Senjougahara__Hitagi (who has a great track record if you look into them on reddit, and is someone I talk to and crosscheck things with since we have met) has heard the same things for Smash that I have.
The only difference in our information has been them hearing that Steve from Minecraft will be playable and discussions with Cygames were happening to get a Granblue Fantasy character (which seems to be Katalina in particular) into Super Smash Bros. Ultimate.

While I cannot personally back those two things on my end yet from my personal sources, what we can do is consider adding up what I have heard and put out for SSBU combined with what Hitagi heard and has said, which could point us in a direction that reveals that 3 out of the 5 DLC characters seem to be
The Square Enix character. I can vouch is definitely happening and the first DLC character at that

Steve from Minecraft. Minecraft discussions happened that lead to my knowledge that content is planned to be present. I have been told it could be an AT, stage, item, or "possibly" a character. It looks like character, stage, and theme will be how if what Hitagi has heard is accurate. At this point, I do not doubt it much.

Cygames' Granblue Fantasy getting a guest character (Katalina mentioned by name)
This comes from Hitagi as I have said. But they seemed confident that the discussions happened on a serious level.

Its weird seeing Vergeben show up on CE. Then again Im sure he uses the site normally like the rest of us if this is the main place he responds and dumps leaks (Ive also seen him on Reddit)
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Menardii
11/02/18 11:07:53 AM
#94:


He only showed up here because he was tagged lol.
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Not playing Smash until Isaac is playable.
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SilverRalph
11/02/18 11:08:56 AM
#95:


Fuck why cant they just do Banjo
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Banjo-Kazooie supporter since Aug. 2013
Banjo is in! #TeamReal
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Alpha218
11/02/18 11:09:01 AM
#96:


Oh. Im still surprised he doesnt turn that shit off because 90% of the time its used to flame him on the Ultimate board.
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I'm Commander Shepard, and this is my favorite user on the Citadel. https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/1349-mario
Now Playing: Magic the Gathering: Arena
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Menardii
11/02/18 11:10:30 AM
#97:


I visited the boards yesterday, but that was enough for me. The Smash boards are truly the most toxic boards on this site.

I do think it's funny how he's basically a god on that board now.
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Not playing Smash until Isaac is playable.
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Mudkip_in_Space
11/02/18 12:19:05 PM
#98:


So we're getting Katalina and Steve? That's so awful what the fuck
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Simple and clean is the way that you're making me feel tonight; it's hard to let it go
Sora and Elma for Smash Ultimate
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Milkman5
11/02/18 1:03:19 PM
#99:


yikes

if Sakurai adds steve and katarina I have no words
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SailorGoon
11/02/18 1:12:40 PM
#100:


Tetris L-Block
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