Current Events > Holy shit; democrat leading the PA special election at ~53%!

(+) Yeah! (+)

0AbsoluteZero0 posted...

Tyranthraxus posted...

I think Saccone wins. There are a bunch of counties in Washington that haven't reported and not so many counties left in Alleghany for Lamb to get more votes.

Unless Washington suddenly turns blue.

If the remaining votes in Washington County are split the same as the others in the county, I calculate Saccone will gain roughly +200 votes net. That wouldnt be enough to put him over the top

Right and that's ignoring the votes Lamb still gets in Aleg. all things equal there as well.
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Tag
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Saccone should pull ahead. Close race, though.
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Anteaterking posted...

0AbsoluteZero0 posted...

Tyranthraxus posted...

I think Saccone wins. There are a bunch of counties in Washington that haven't reported and not so many counties left in Alleghany for Lamb to get more votes.

Unless Washington suddenly turns blue.

If the remaining votes in Washington County are split the same as the others in the county, I calculate Saccone will gain roughly +200 votes net. That wouldnt be enough to put him over the top

Right and that's ignoring the votes Lamb still gets in Aleg. all things equal there as well.

Yep. Its certainly not over yet, but its looking good for Lamb
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I've had CNN on for like 3 hours now

I've heard the same exact talking points like 5 times now
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wackyteen posted...

I've had CNN on for like 3 hours now

I've heard the same exact talking points like 5 times now

They're like sports commentators at this point. Their job is to figure out how many different fucking ways to say "They need to throw the ball into the end zone to score a touch down."
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In addition, there are the 3000 some Aleg. absentee ballot which have not been factored in at all yet. I believe the other counties already have.
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wackyteen posted...

I've had CNN on for like 3 hours now

I've heard the same exact talking points like 5 times now

I mean, they have to keep things updated for the folks just tuning in

Anyways, this is gonna come down to absentee ballots
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+55 for Conor Lamb!
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Allegheny reporting 100%. Lamb with a 755 vote lead.
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Tyranthraxus posted...

They're like sports commentators at this point. Their job is to figure out how many different f***ing ways to say "They need to throw the ball into the end zone to score a touch down."

I get that there's only so many ways to describe what is going on but still

"oh this is a commentary on the national stage"

"oh Republicans should be shook, even if they win closely"

0/10 don't recommend leaving CNN on this long
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UnholyMudcrab posted...

Allegheny reporting 100%. Lamb with a 755 vote lead.

Anyone who thinks their vote doesn't count needs to check their privilege
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wackyteen posted...

Tyranthraxus posted...

They're like sports commentators at this point. Their job is to figure out how many different f***ing ways to say "They need to throw the ball into the end zone to score a touch down."

I get that there's only so many ways to describe what is going on but still

"oh this is a commentary on the national stage"

"oh Republicans should be shook, even if they win closely"

0/10 don't recommend leaving CNN on this long

I sit through the panel banality just to hear John King break down the numbers every fifteen minutes.
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Tyranthraxus posted...

wackyteen posted...

I've had CNN on for like 3 hours now

I've heard the same exact talking points like 5 times now

They're like sports commentators at this point. Their job is to figure out how many different fucking ways to say "They need to throw the ball into the end zone to score a touch down."

CNN, as biased and sometimes fake as they are---they're excellent for election coverages.
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i'm confused

CNN has Westmoreland going Red but NYT doesn't have any results for Westmoreland

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html
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wackyteen posted...

i'm confused

CNN has Westmoreland going Red but NYT doesn't have any results for Westmoreland

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html

Please read the links you post.
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wackyteen posted...

i'm confused

CNN has Westmoreland going Red but NYT doesn't have any results for Westmoreland

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html

Predictions, they'll change periodically.
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Yep the blue wave is coming.
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wackyteen posted...

i'm confused

CNN has Westmoreland going Red but NYT doesn't have any results for Westmoreland

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html

The county as a whole is red, but we do not have data for the individual precincts within it.
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Anteaterking posted...

Please read the links you post.

Live Estimates of the Final Vote
Precinct results are not currently available in Westmoreland County, a heavily Republican part of the district. Were monitoring the county-level results closely, but for now we cant responsibly make a forecast without more detailed information about where in Westmoreland County the votes are coming from.

and beyond that it's all blank for Westmoreland

they have the numbers but their map doesn't reflect
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Tyranthraxus posted...

UnholyMudcrab posted...

Allegheny reporting 100%. Lamb with a 755 vote lead.

Anyone who thinks their vote doesn't count needs to check their privilege

#Preach
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wackyteen posted...

and beyond that it's all blank for Westmoreland

they have the numbers but their map doesn't reflect

That's because their map is built on precinct data. You can look at the table next to it, where they record the countywide data.
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wackyteen posted...

Anteaterking posted...

Please read the links you post.

Live Estimates of the Final Vote
Precinct results are not currently available in Westmoreland County, a heavily Republican part of the district. Were monitoring the county-level results closely, but for now we cant responsibly make a forecast without more detailed information about where in Westmoreland County the votes are coming from.

and beyond that it's all blank for Westmoreland

they have the numbers but their map doesn't reflect

Westmoreland isn't reporting the precinct totals, which the NYT model needs in order to function properly.
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CarlGrimes posted...

Damn_Underscore posted...

Does anyone have any idea what either of these guys stand for?

Just vote for the (D) or you are a racist nazi.

What a clown
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So are we expecting final results soon or should I just go to bed?
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can't stand cnn which is a shame because i'm old enough to remember when they weren't so damn terrible, been following it on cbs's free streaming platform cbsn and there has been next to no commercials compared to what cnn usually pulls, coverage has been pretty good.

i'm guessing there will be a recount if the numbers maintain, if it's half a percentage point everything gets an automatic recount.
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Why is Washington taking forever to count the remaining 7% of their votes?

Kombucha posted...

if it's half a percentage point everything gets an automatic recount.

Not true.
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i thought he was about to write 666 on the board

lmfao
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IdiotMachine posted...

Why is Washington taking forever to count the remaining 7% of their votes?

trying to find a way to fudge the results
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Looks like Lamb is only ahead by 95 votes now, according to CNN.
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Ninety.
Five.
Votes.
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Washington County talked to CNN on the phone. Looks like Lamb ahead by ~100 votes after 100% of Washington County.
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Anteaterking posted...

Kombucha posted...

if it's half a percentage point everything gets an automatic recount.

Not true.

yeah you're probably right looked at the law and it says statewide races only.
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Holy shit
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Capn Circus posted...

Looks like Lamb is only ahead by 95 votes, according to CNN.

It doesn't get much closer than that. Looks like there are still some votes left in Westmoreland. Razor-thin margin here.

What the fuck is happening??
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Bullet_Wing posted...

Absentee ballots will play a huge part here. Allegheny has almost 4000

Absentee votes generally skew Dem in this district, and they came disproportionately from Allegheny
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well

i have to be at work in the morning so

i'm checking out

real talk, I didn't even know this was going on til this morning. <_<
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Damnnnn
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It's going to come down to the absentee ballots.
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UnholyMudcrab posted...

It's going to come down to the absentee ballots.

that's been clear since like 10:15 EST
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Holy shit what the fuck...

109,945 vs 109,850

wackyteen posted...

UnholyMudcrab posted...

It's going to come down to the absentee ballots.

that's been clear since like 10:15 EST

When do absentee ballots count?

its crazyyyyy

Democrats up 50.0000000000000000000000001 % to 49.9999999999999999999999999 %
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We did it!!
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