Board 8 > Texas Rangers have a 96.3% chance of making the playoffs

(+) Yeah! (+)

http://www.coolstandings.com/baseball_standings.asp?sn=2012&i=1

91% chance to win their division.



More importantly the Cubs have a 8.3% chance of making the playoffs...aka less chance than the Astros. Ouch. >_<


Love the early season standings. Now I'm curious how much each game changes these numbers. A week from now I wonder what the percentages will look like.

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

Kansas City has won 3 games and they have an 11.2% chance of making the playoffs.

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

And now I see you can look back at what it was earlier. <_<

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

500 topic of me revealing information from coolstandings to myself.

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

Did you know they are no longer doing the percentages after this baseball year? They didn't do the NHL or NBA playoff predictions either.

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

2011 Red Sox and Braves are two of the top 5 all time collapses. Both had better than a 99% chance of making the playoffs and failed.

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

yazzy14 posted...
2011 Red Sox and Braves are two of the top 5 all time collapses. Both had better than a 99% chance of making the playoffs and failed.

well yeah

they had the first and second biggest collapse of all time in terms of the amount of games they had to drop to miss the playoffs

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yazzy14 posted...
Did you know they are no longer doing the percentages after this baseball year? They didn't do the NHL or NBA playoff predictions either.

Why?

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yE frE me Kweku Ananse Papa
me:http://img235.imageshack.us/img235/1508/masterplumgm3.jpg

But the '95 California Angels had a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs as of August 24th. They were 23 games above .500 and they ended 11 games above.

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

masterplum posted...
Why?


http://www.coolstandings.com/lastStand.asp


lastStand @ coolstandings.com

After the 2012 MLB regular season, coolstandings.com will no longer be updating the site with live playoff probabilities.

It's been a terrific ride, but after simulating close to 15 billion seasons over the past seven years, the servers at coolstandings.com are ready for a breather! Since launching the site back in 2005, we've enjoyed calculating the odds of teams making the playoffs for baseball, football, basketball and hockey. We've gone back and simulated MLB seasons all the way back to 1903 to find the most amazing comebacks and most devastating collapses. Our fantasy seasons allowed visitors to boost their favorite teams to push them into the playoffs. And our projections for the MLB, NFL, NBA and NHL playoffs have been quite accurate, as we've picked the winners in about 67% of the playoff matchups since 2005.

Thank you!

Thanks to all of you who have visited and supported coolstandings.com through the years. We've really enjoyed the feedback from our regular visitors, through our coolforums message board, email, Facebook page and twitter. A special thanks to rhudgins32 and patch11001 - they've contributed to the forums since the first days of the site, and their persistence finally helped bring hockey to coolstandings.

We want to especially thank ESPN.com, Boston.com and Fantasy Sports Ventures (now part of USA Today) for providing opportunities to expand our audience. Thanks to all the sportswriters who have brought positive attention to coolstandings, with insightful analysis from Rob Neyer, Jayson Stark, Carl Bialik, Nate Silver, and many others. We're still waiting for a Bill Simmons mention, though!

And we must also express our gratitude to Bill James, the father of sabermetrics, and Daryl Morey, who extended the James Pythagorean Theorem to sports other than baseball. We've had the pleasure of meeting both at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, better known as Dorkapalooza, a convention that Daryl Morey co-created.

We are tracking the 2012 MLB season, so you can see how the extra wild card spots help your team's playoff chances. ESPN is also publishing our playoff probabilities on their MLB standings page for the 2012 season. Unfortunately we won't be updating playoff chances for this year's NBA and NHL seasons. We still have data up for previous seasons, but apologize that we won't be tracking the stretch run this year.

We'll be keeping the historical data on the site for some time longer, even after our live updates cease this fall. Feel free to contact us by email or through Facebook - as always we appreciate your interest and support!

And if you or someone you know is interested in acquiring a unique sports website, built on a proven analytics model and engaging historical data - we'd love to hear from you too!

Sincerely,
Greg Agami and Sean Walsh
coolstandings.com

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight

iirc, the angels had the biggest lead and dropped it, while the braves/sox had almost as big as a lead but needed to lose more games to drop out of the playoffs because the other teams weren't doing as well. Plus the Angels did it over a month and a half while the Sox/Braves did it over a much shorter time period.

Or something like that

so it's really a matter of perspective.

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According to coolstandings the Braves did it in the same timeframe. As of August 25th the Braves had a 99.2% chance of making the playoffs. So fairly similar to the Angels of '95. But again, this is just based on Coolstandings "smart" playoff percentage. Not based on games back and games remaining.

The 2007 Mets had a 99.5% chance of making the playoffs as of September 13th. That's pretty late to lose it. They went 5-12 the rest of the way to drop out.

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Retaliation. Tit for tit.
-Dwight