Poll of the Day > i don't get weather forcasting

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helly
08/10/17 3:53:01 AM
#1:


how do we know what the weather is going to be a month from now?

like that seems hella sketch

ndzfRjq

like we know that, in 90 days, it's gonna rain?
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DirtBasedSoap
08/10/17 3:55:03 AM
#2:


it's bullshit. their guess is honestly as good as yours
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darcandkharg31
08/10/17 3:57:56 AM
#3:


I predict tomorrow it'll be sunny, with some clouds, and a chance of showers... yeah.
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faramir77
08/10/17 4:16:28 AM
#4:


There isn't a weather forecasting system on Earth that can accurately predict weather more than 7 days ahead of time.
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TheWorstPoster
08/10/17 4:33:57 AM
#5:


Fivecasting is better
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TheCyborgNinja
08/10/17 5:02:29 AM
#6:


I live in a coastal valley, so they don't even get it right a few hours in advance a lot of the time.
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Blaqthourne
08/10/17 8:10:26 AM
#7:


They just have a network of old people with bunions sitting on porches and they ask them if their bunions are acting up.
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InfernalFive
08/10/17 8:30:55 AM
#8:


Blaqthourne posted...
They just have a network of old people with bunions sitting on porches and they ask them if their bunions are acting up.

Mah knee feel funny, rains' a comin'
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dedbus
08/10/17 8:41:43 AM
#9:


Probably historical data from several years. Not sure why they'd even bother. Maybe it's for travelers so they can get a sense of what kind of season they are traveling into.

Also the forecast is for an area. It might rain in your city but they can't say, well random potders house has a 20 percent chance of rain. Get indoors!

Clouds bloom and get blown around but you can predict and see what's going on with a system, it's just out can be raining in your front yard, dry in the back and you can't really account for that far in advance.
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Firewood18
08/10/17 9:43:07 AM
#10:


Gotta get a weather forecasting stone.
If the rock is wet : rain
If the rock is dry : no rain
If there is a shadow : sunny
Can't see the rock : fog
White on top : snow
Stone is gone : tornado
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Muffinz0rz
08/10/17 10:32:51 AM
#11:


I stopped trusting anything past 24 hours like, a long time ago. Anything past that is bullshit.

They can give you a decent idea, but it's never going to be perfect.
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green dragon
08/10/17 10:50:20 AM
#12:


helly posted...
how do we know what the weather is going to be a month from now?

We don't
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Renraku_San
08/10/17 12:34:33 PM
#13:


It is pretty much "Machine Learning" at work. People aren't guessing the weather in November, a computer is.

Machine Learning is a booming business right now, easy $120k/yr salary if you know it.

More information on the machine learning-like model they use for forecasting:
http://www.wrf-model.org/index.php
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RedPixel
08/10/17 2:42:52 PM
#14:


TheWorstPoster posted...
Fivecasting is better

This is why ICO > Erik_P

He knows how to pop Dad jokes
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Mead
08/10/17 2:43:49 PM
#15:


They look at clouds and what happened last year and they guess.

They're right nearly 50% of the time.
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Muffinz0rz
08/14/17 4:27:59 PM
#16:


RedPixel posted...
TheWorstPoster posted...
Fivecasting is better

This is why ICO > Erik_P

He knows how to pop Dad jokes

@Erik_P, your response?
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