Board 8 > Odds of -12 score making bracket leaderboard?

(+) Yeah! (+)

I will finish with 180/192 points.

Both mistakes were thanks to Pokemon (I had them losing to Ryu/Ken), leading to a -4 in the 3rd round and a -8 in the 4th round.

The current leaderboard cuts off at -8.
10 / 50 (20%) of the leaderboard have a final winner other than Link/Ganon.
There are currently 176 accounts tied at -8 (four of which are shown in the top 50), but there's a guy with over 100 alts and they are counted separately in the distribution.

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Looks pretty close to 0 to me. Only 9 people on the top 50 don't have Link winning. You currently aren't even in the top 100 excluding alts.

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Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place