Current Events > Donald Trump is going to win again

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piUrsEitanizm
06/25/20 11:58:56 PM
#1:


Democrats are more afraid of covid-19 because more Republicans think it's either not a big deal really or that it's a conspiracy than Democrat voters do.

Not only that, but Democrat voters don't believe voting really matters unless they really believe that the Democrat running for president is going bring real change.

Sure, many believed Obama might bring change because he was half black, furthermore some felt like they were obligated to vote for him because of the fact that he was half black (black voters) so a lot more people came out to vote for him no matter what because of that.

Nobody really believes in Biden, only old people really voted for Biden and helped him win the primary, all the other votes where mostly young Democrats hoping they could get Bernie or Warren as the nominee.

The polls don't matter, there aren't enough old Democrat voters as old Republican voters, the big boost they need from young Democrat voters is unlikely to happen because almost none of them voted for Biden.

I also know it has to be true that most of the polls where likely taken by young voters because old voters don't even know how to use a computer really so its hard to say how many old Democrat voters there are compared to Republican ones.

Lastly, gerrymandering will keep a lot of Democrat voters from voting because they don't want to spend the gas money or take what could even be more than one bus just to vote let alone if taking a bus costs them because they don't have a bus pass or whatever as by the time they will be able to vote not many will have a job or much of any money to pay to take the bus and do that.

There are too many variables as to why Trump will win especially the "He couldn't possibly win so I'm going to be lazy and not vote" factor...

I would bet my balls that Trump wins, it's too obvious.

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Smackems
06/26/20 12:00:09 AM
#2:


Ladies and gentlemen we have a ball bet!

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Irony
06/26/20 12:00:44 AM
#3:


No one wants your tiny balls

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Guide
06/26/20 12:01:10 AM
#4:


I would bet my balls that Trump wins

You wanna make a ball bet?

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#5
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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:01:55 AM
#6:


Guide posted...
You wanna make a ball bet?
Yeah, because I know that like it or not Trump will win.

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Mezcla
06/26/20 12:01:59 AM
#7:


TC ima hang your balls over my fireplace

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Smackems
06/26/20 12:02:34 AM
#8:


If you win do you get more balls

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Guide
06/26/20 12:03:14 AM
#9:


piUrsEitanizm posted...
Yeah, because I know that like it or not Trump will win.

Alright, ball bet it is.

Since my balls are too fucking enormous to upload, we'll make it an account bet, capisce?

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bladegash
06/26/20 12:04:00 AM
#10:


No chance in hell Trump beats Hillary, the polls are predicting the biggest landslide win in the history if historical shit. Trump wont even get a single vote.

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Guide
06/26/20 12:05:05 AM
#11:


bladegash posted...
No chance in hell Trump beats Hillary, the polls are predicting the biggest landslide win in the history if historical shit. Trump wont even get a single vote.

Want to make a ball bet?

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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:06:07 AM
#12:


bladegash posted...
No chance in hell Trump beats Hillary, the polls are predicting the biggest landslide win in the history if historical shit. Trump wont even get a single vote.
I don't know, people think that Biden wouldn't have ever done any stimulus checks and today here in Texas of all places just today I had a young african american try and tell me that Trump is both bad and good but more good because he keeps doing stimulus checks.

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#13
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Kaiganeer
06/26/20 12:08:35 AM
#14:


i mean to be fair, voting doesn't really matter. unless you're actively lobbying and campaigning for other people to vote how you want them to, any one individual vote is completely worthless in terms of the outcome of the election
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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:14:09 AM
#15:


Bullet_Wing posted...
@piUrsEitanizm
Noticing how you ignored this.
Sure, i'll take your bet, again people are getting too cocky and certain that it's an automatic win like with Hilary.

The biggest problem is that Biden isn't even campaigning really and is unlikely to really do much campaigning because his team doesn't really want him out there talking much because he's so horrible at it and it could hurt him the more he talks.

Thing is though, if he doesn't go out and campaign he'll give no one any motivating reasons to get out and vote for him.

He also faces the fact that rallies aren't really going to happen under the Democrats because they care far too much about social distancing and also Biden has been really bad at this and doesn't even at least lie and say he is for anything progressive to any degree like Hilary tried to say she was.

Biden is an idiot, they'll get Republicans planted in to ask him if he's for anything the Bernie voters wanted and he'll keep being gross and flat out say that he won't really do anything and because he won't even lie and say he'll do anything, it'll make people feel more hopeless with Biden because at least they'll feel by then that Trump did two stimulus checks.

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SmidgeIsntBack
06/26/20 12:20:43 AM
#16:


Guide posted...
Alright, ball bet it is.

Since my balls are too fucking enormous to upload, we'll make it an account bet, capisce?

Cowards, all of you

BETYOURBALLS

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Irony
06/26/20 12:22:13 AM
#17:


SmidgeIsntBack posted...
Cowards, all of you

BETYOURBALLS
Ok I bet your balls

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Poop2
06/26/20 12:22:50 AM
#18:


Who holds the balls?
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SmidgeIsntBack
06/26/20 12:25:25 AM
#19:


Irony posted...
Ok I bet your balls

Do it, you won't!

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soulunison2
06/26/20 12:27:14 AM
#20:


uhhh you sure about that? Most of his base already has Covid - mortality rate is 5%
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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:31:16 AM
#21:


soulunison2 posted...
uhhh you sure about that? Most of his base already has Covid - mortality rate is 5%
Covid is affecting old black people more because the melanin in their skin doesn't allow them to absorb as much vitamin D from the sun and so because only really do old people vote at all when it comes to Democrats and most of the old Democrat voters are black it'll be based on how many middle aged Democrats will come out to vote vs middle aged Republicans.

So that doesn't even make any sense..

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soulunison2
06/26/20 12:33:53 AM
#22:


piUrsEitanizm posted...
Covid is affecting old black people more because the melanin in their skin doesn't allow them to absorb as much vitamin D from the sun and so because only really do old people vote at all when it comes to Democrats it'll be based on how many middle aged Democrats will come out to vote vs middle aged Republicans.

So that doesn't even make any sense..

But middle aged republicans are just as susceptible to Covid from their complications bro lol

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Doom_Art
06/26/20 12:34:00 AM
#23:


this delusion that trump is some genius powerful campaigner needs to die

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#24
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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:36:27 AM
#25:


Doom_Art posted...
this delusion that trump is some genius powerful campaigner needs to die
It matters as to who wins the vote, none of the polls ask how many people are actually commited to going out and voting.

All the polls are doing right now is showing you who's more popular, Bernie Sanders for the longest time was more popular both this time around and even before in 2016..

How did that turn out?

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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:37:48 AM
#26:


Bullet_Wing posted...
No one aside from Trump supporters believe it
Again, show me a poll that also factors in peoples likelihood to come out and actually vote too so we can compare the popularity contest to the actual number of people ready to actually go out and vote.

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Doom_Art
06/26/20 12:38:12 AM
#27:


piUrsEitanizm posted...
none of the polls ask how many people are actually commited to going out and voting.
they... do do that though

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Bishop9800
06/26/20 12:38:29 AM
#28:


piUrsEitanizm posted...
Covid is affecting old black people more because the melanin in their skin doesn't allow them to absorb as much vitamin D from the sun


source for this bullshit?

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soulunison2
06/26/20 12:38:30 AM
#29:


piUrsEitanizm posted...
Again, show me a poll that also factors in peoples likelihood to come out and actually vote too so we can compare the popularity contest to the actual number of people ready to actually go out and vote.

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Doom_Art
06/26/20 12:38:59 AM
#30:


piUrsEitanizm posted...
Bernie Sanders for the longest time was more popular both this time around and even before in 2016..
And also except for a brief window after Nevada, Sanders never cracked first place in polling of the primary

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Anteaterking
06/26/20 12:39:02 AM
#31:


piUrsEitanizm posted...
It matters as to who wins the vote, none of the polls ask how many people are actually commited to going out and voting.

You know there are actually poll distinctions between registered voters and likely voters, right?

Like those are terms used when polling political races that mean things for the model?

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Zack_Attackv1
06/26/20 12:39:05 AM
#32:


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au_gold
06/26/20 12:39:20 AM
#33:


Honestly, Democrats should keep this mindset to avoid being complacent. Theres always a chance of Trump winning.

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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:39:29 AM
#34:


Doom_Art posted...
they... do do that though
No, they just say who are you likely to vote for, they're not two part polls that also factor in another one that says how likely are you to vote.

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UnholyMudcrab
06/26/20 12:40:59 AM
#35:


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#36
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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:42:40 AM
#37:


Anteaterking posted...
You know there are actually poll distinctions between registered voters and likely voters, right?

Like those are terms used when polling political races that mean things for the model?
They have to quit being lazy and make a poll that is in two parts or else people are basically just saying if they were forced to vote.

They need to quit being lazy and make a poll that is in two parts so we can see that for a fact better or else it's just people saying they'd vote Biden if they were forced to vote or happened to be ready and where there at the polling booth.

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TheoryzC
06/26/20 12:43:25 AM
#38:


I love how the bolder prediction one could make is him losing

Everyone is saying he's gonna win based on last time

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Doom_Art
06/26/20 12:43:30 AM
#39:


piUrsEitanizm posted...
No, they just say who are you likely to vote for, they're not two part polls that also factor in another one that says how likely are you to vote.
plenty of polls ask questions regarding enthusiasm

and it's also been pointed out to you that polls do make the distinction between registered and likely voters

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Bishop9800
06/26/20 12:45:14 AM
#40:


Bishop9800 posted...
source for this bullshit?

@piUrsEitanizm

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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:45:47 AM
#41:


Bullet_Wing posted...
Trump is historically unpopular, especially among independents which is what he needs. His base alone can't win the election
Bidem can't win, he's slowly being bombarded with questions asking if he'll do anything the Bernie or Warren voters wanted because they were the actual most popular candidates in the primary and he keeps coming out saying he won't do even one 30th of any of that.

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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:47:03 AM
#43:


Further more, Trump is trying to push executive order to try and get police reform passed while idiot Biden just did this.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/joe-biden-pushed-police-now-confronts-challenge-police/story?id=71177383

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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:48:09 AM
#44:


Bullet_Wing posted...
Except, you know, they weren't. Biden got way more votes than either of them.
Biden was almost never the front runner ever, he just won because old people are scared they'll never let Bernie or Warren win which is true but still.

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UnholyMudcrab
06/26/20 12:49:13 AM
#46:


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Bishop9800
06/26/20 12:50:45 AM
#47:


UnholyMudcrab posted...
Why the fuck y'all keep feeding him


This. It's obvious he's full of shit.

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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:51:30 AM
#48:


As long as Trump passes some sort of police reform, and keeps pushing out stimulus checks and Biden keeps being against even anything Trump has done that people even like and furthermore is even against doing anything about the police then Trump can take that and use that together with using Biden's record against him and combine that with phony promises and people will lose faith in Biden and will jump to Trump for more stimulus checks and phony promises..

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piUrsEitanizm
06/26/20 12:55:04 AM
#49:


This will all come down to who people think will do something more to save our economy from the mess Covid-19 got us into.

Do you really think people will trust one of the most establishment candidates to do anything? At least we know Trump has really wanted to do a bunch of things that congress wouldn't even allow.

Biden would be better to a degree but do you really think people think Biden would have even done what Trump has?

I'm sure people think Biden would have just given a bunch of food stamps out or something but no checks.

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