Current Events > Do you actively visit Nate Silver's 538?

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wackyteen
06/16/20 7:12:12 PM
#1:


Do you?







Feels like they had the election model out by this point in 2016.

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The name is wackyteen for a reason. Never doubt.
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Odoylerules
06/16/20 7:14:36 PM
#2:


trumps kinda fucked things up in the last 4 years so its gonna take nate a while
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JimmyFraska
06/16/20 7:17:41 PM
#3:


He's a pretty smart dude most of the time but his 2016 predictions were hilarious. Though, 85% of people didn't see that coming to be fair
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Odoylerules
06/16/20 7:20:12 PM
#4:


JimmyFraska posted...
He's a pretty smart dude most of the time but his 2016 predictions were hilarious. Though, 85% of people didn't see that coming to be fair
Trump was that 1% anomaly that actually comes true.

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wackyteen
06/16/20 7:20:14 PM
#5:


JimmyFraska posted...
He's a pretty smart dude most of the time but his 2016 predictions were hilarious. Though, 85% of people didn't see that coming to be fair
Well polling ran pretty close (throughout the entirety of the election) and tbh Trump didn't win by big or unpredicted margins.

Silvers model gave Trump like a 28% chance to win which is still a pretty good chance. If I told you you had a 28% chance to win $1M I'm sure you'd participate

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The name is wackyteen for a reason. Never doubt.
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Sariana21
06/16/20 7:22:47 PM
#6:


Nate Silver had multiple articles explaining exactly how Trump could win the election and reiterating how poor (or non-existent) the polls were in certain states.

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Sari, Mom to DS (07/04) and DD (01/08); Pronouns: she/her/hers
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