Board 8 > Game of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3

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Master Moltar
04/14/20 6:05:32 PM
#301:


Round 2 Ori and the Blind Forest vs. Fire Emblem: Three Houses

Moltars Analysis

Ori and the Blind Forest
Round 1 51.91% vs. Dragon Age: Inquisition

Fire Emblem: Three Houses
Round 1 66.66% vs. South Park: The Stick of Truth

Well, this is FEs last chance to impress someone in this contest. Ori surprised many with its win last round, but that was just because Dragon Age was weaker than we thought. Ori shouldnt be all that strong, but if Three Houses cant look good against it, then its screwed against Xenoblade.

Im going to follow the trend and say FE underperforms yet again.

Moltars Bracket: Fire Emblem: Three Houses

Moltars Prediction: Fire Emblem: Three Houses 62%

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transiences Analysis

Ori is in round 2! How good is Ori? Has it graduated to 'upper tier indie' status or did it just take advantage of a game that has lost its audience completely?

I adore Ori, but I'm a little skeptical that it's up there with Hollow Knight or Cuphead. Will of the Wisps has elevated it to a legitimate franchise but those games had a real bandwagon behind them for various reasons. Ori looks real nice and is a great successor to the metroidvanias of the world, but I'm not sure if it's better than Stick of Truth. It probably is? Dragon Age Inquisition should be better than Stick of Truth, theoretically. It's going to get beat by Three Houses, but by how much?

transience's prediction: Fire Emblem: Three Houses with 59.99%

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Leonharts Analysis

Ori and the Blind Forest scored perhaps the biggest upset of round 1, taking down a big name and GOTY runner-up (albeit a distant second to Smash 4!) in Dragon Age. While Fire Emblem as a whole has been a little underwhelming so far, Three Houses should still be out of Oris league. I dont know what it needs to get here to look good going into its showdown with Xenoblade because Im not sure who Id pick between Ori and Overwatch. If Ori can beat Dragon Age, it could theoretically beat Overwatch, too. I would also enjoy a scenario where South Park is the third strongest game in this eightpack! I figure as long as it doesnt undershoot Xenoblade by a ton, I wont worry about itmuch.

Leonharts Vote: Fire Emblem: Three Houses

Leonharts Prediction: Fire Emblem: Three Houses with 67.87%
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Kleenexs Analysis

Ori had one of the best upsets of the round against Dragon Age, and its possible it might carry some momentum into this match, but Fire Emblem is probably a few steps too many up the rung for Ori to pull off the double upset. Im not actually all that high on how Fire Emblem did last round given how low my respect is for Stick of Truth, especially seeing Awakening losing handily to Bloodborne (rally aside), but it should still be fine. Its going to have to recover from last rounds disappointing numbers if it wants to have a shot against Xenoblade, though. (Unless Xenoblade bombs, in which case, disregard. Just like you should be disregarding all my writeups.)

Kleenexs Prediction: Fire Emblem: Three Houses with 60.25%

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Guests Analysis Hbthebattle

Three Houses did not look that good in its win, but that shouldn't matter too much here. Ori probably isn't that much stronger than the Stick of Truth, so this won't be the game that pulls the upset. However, the question remains: can Three Houses impress enough here to stand a chance versus Xenoblade? I kinda doubt it.

FE3H with 62.33%

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Crew Consensus: Fire Emblem: Round Three Houses

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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Leonhart4
04/14/20 6:06:51 PM
#302:


Huh, everyone went low but me!

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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 6:10:07 PM
#303:


Rivals was basically about correctly calling the Trainers getting far and I think we had multiple winners so it came down a tiebreaker.

Not trying to say it wasn't impressive.

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Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
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transcience
04/14/20 6:12:14 PM
#304:


rivals was so bad that I ghosted the crew

I even joined for best years, I think

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iphonesience
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transcience
04/14/20 6:13:39 PM
#305:


anyway, im the lowest pick for persona and fire emblem and the highest for xenoblade and gta. woohoo?

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iphonesience
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BlAcK TuRtLe
04/14/20 6:15:37 PM
#306:


The Mana Sword posted...
it's almost as if there is minimal skill in actually winning a gamefaqs contest
So says the person that hasn't won a contest

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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1
lol xstats
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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 6:18:17 PM
#307:


I might have sent my next guest write-up twice, thunderbird crashed and I wasn't sure if it failed to send or just failed to copy to my sent folder. Not expecting it to bother you much, Moltar, but my apologies anyways if it happened.

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Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
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Gall
04/14/20 6:21:13 PM
#308:


Leonhart4 posted...
A lot.
Would you mind explaining how these stats work? I don't get how Red Dead could beat RE2 when it won by less.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 6:22:05 PM
#309:


Years had the most cookie guru winner in history.

Rivals come second place.

And it's not just because those contests were smaller, it's actually considering in % of total matches. For some reason those extremely gimmicky contests led to extremely chalky brackets.

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Leonhart4
04/14/20 6:22:51 PM
#310:


Oh wait, I got the percentages mixed up. RE2 would win with like 63-64%

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Surskit
04/14/20 6:23:38 PM
#312:


Can confirm, my brackets are always absolute crap but I managed to end up on the leaderboard for Years.

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.-#Elements of Water#-.
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hylianknight3
04/14/20 6:27:28 PM
#313:


I didn't finish on the Years leaderboard, but I did end up there for Rivals!

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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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Leonhart4
04/14/20 6:29:38 PM
#314:


I was on the leaderboard until 1991/1994.

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transcience
04/14/20 6:34:12 PM
#315:


I would have won years if 1997 had a proper picture

but also who cares about years

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iphonesience
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ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 6:38:06 PM
#316:


I was 1st place for most of the guru until I got 1997 vs 2001 wrong.
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squexa
04/14/20 6:40:36 PM
#317:


I'm going to dispute both of these claims above lmao. Until 1997 vs 2001, scaryice and I were in the lead and had 1997 won, scaryice would have won the Guru and beat me by tiebreaker.

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 6:42:53 PM
#318:


Looking at it, ZeldaTP appears to have lost the lead when 1994 beat 1991.

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Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 6:43:21 PM
#319:


squexa posted...
I'm going to dispute both of these claims above lmao. Until 1997 vs 2001, scaryice and I were in the lead and had 1997 won, scaryice would have won the Guru and beat me by tiebreaker.

Oh you are right. I was topping the guru at some point, but it was the 1991 vs 1994 match that eliminated me.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 6:44:33 PM
#320:


The 1997 match stuck in my head for some reason.
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 6:48:33 PM
#321:


because it was an absolute con job

I still remember yoblazer being like WE NEED TO GET THE PICSMITHS ON ALL THESE CLASSIC 1997 GAMES TO MAKE THIS 2001 MATCH EPIC

and then SBAllen comes in with "hey uh can you guys make me some Ages of Empires pics"
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hylianknight3
04/14/20 6:48:43 PM
#322:


I picked 2000 to beat 1996 and 1997. :-/

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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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squexa
04/14/20 6:51:55 PM
#323:


2000 vs 1996 was pretty bs as well, since 2000 didn't get GSC iirc.

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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BlAcK TuRtLe
04/14/20 6:56:58 PM
#324:


Who gives a shit about GSC? I can't wait until it gets embarrassed, again

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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1
lol xstats
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transience
04/14/20 6:58:05 PM
#325:


yeah that sucked. I guess I've had some pretty crushing Ls in the last few contests, between that and CT to the finals

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xyzzy
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hylianknight3
04/14/20 6:58:34 PM
#326:


squexa posted...
2000 vs 1996 was pretty bs as well, since 2000 didn't get GSC iirc.

I'm still salty about it!

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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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Stooge1969
04/14/20 7:10:06 PM
#327:


Ori isn't indie. It's published by Microsoft
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Mac Arrowny
04/14/20 7:12:02 PM
#328:


It's funny, before the contest, Three Houses getting 60% against Inquisition would've been seen as a huge win for it that probably guaranteed it winning the division.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
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FFDragon
04/14/20 8:01:37 PM
#329:


Is it too soon to lol bt?

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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person?
#theresafreakingghostafterus
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:01:57 PM
#330:


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Janus5k
04/14/20 8:03:18 PM
#331:


FFDragon posted...
Is it too soon to lol bt?
Is it ever?

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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
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transcience
04/14/20 8:03:30 PM
#332:


damn, how weak is dragon age


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add the c and back away
iphonesience
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FFDragon
04/14/20 8:03:57 PM
#333:


Like 60% of this bracket is turbo fodder

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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person?
#theresafreakingghostafterus
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:04:20 PM
#334:


transcience posted...
damn, how weak is dragon age



after what FO4 did I kind of expected this

Dragon Age is in the same tier if not even lower
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Kotetsu534
04/14/20 8:04:22 PM
#335:


Hoped for much better from Ori here. Maybe it'll buck the indie trends and rise through the poll since it's against FE.

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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
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transcience
04/14/20 8:05:02 PM
#336:


Bloodborne might be a top 10 game watch out

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iphonesience
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BlAcK TuRtLe
04/14/20 8:06:55 PM
#337:


Ya, I'm done with this contest

Yikes

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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1
lol xstats
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WarThaNemesis2
04/14/20 8:07:45 PM
#338:


BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Ya, I'm done with this contest

Yikes

It's not GameFAQs' fault you don't know the difference between the Wii and Wii U.

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Not a stinky alien. :(
Nintendo Switch Code: SW-5719-6555-8388
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The Mana Sword
04/14/20 8:10:13 PM
#339:


that fire emblem board vote holy moly

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BlAcK TuRtLe
04/14/20 8:11:34 PM
#340:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
It's not GameFAQs' fault you don't know the difference between the Wii and Wii U.
Both were garbage systems with no good exclusives, tonnes of shovelware and their only redeeming quality is how great they are to softmod and emulate on.

Isn't a Wii U just 2 Wiis duct taped together?

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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1
lol xstats
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transcience
04/14/20 8:15:26 PM
#341:


BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Both were garbage systems with no good exclusives, tonnes of shovelware and their only redeeming quality is how great they are to softmod and emulate on.

Isn't a Wii U just 2 Wiis duct taped together?



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add the c and back away
iphonesience
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BlAcK TuRtLe
04/14/20 8:17:27 PM
#342:


It's actually hilarious how quickly my bracket went to absolute shit.

I can take solace that at least I'll have called Nier > Pokemon right

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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1
lol xstats
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guesswho33
04/14/20 8:17:41 PM
#343:


well that's that. clearly shovel knight didn't legit win. Also I am going to lose 2 more today so I might as well forget caring, despite having started the day in the top 2%. lol.

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Guess who I am.
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transcience
04/14/20 8:29:24 PM
#344:


hell yeah crew today

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iphonesience
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transience
04/14/20 8:40:50 PM
#345:


okay maybe not

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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:42:57 PM
#346:


yeah Persona 4 looks like it might be in some trouble

that Power Hour wore off way too quickly
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:43:54 PM
#347:


BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
I can take solace that at least I'll have called Nier > Pokemon right


but can you really
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foxhead84
04/14/20 8:59:36 PM
#348:


BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
I'll eat my hat and stop ragging on Xenoshit if it clears 60% on Overwatch. I'm still not convinced, and I think you guys are insane going so high. I think its close enough that it could go either way, but 65+%? No way

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The Mana Sword
04/14/20 9:01:39 PM
#349:


its gonna be hilarious when gta actually just ends up winning this division

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transcience
04/14/20 9:02:59 PM
#350:


I cant tell if I want to see Persona try to hulk up and overcome the remake stigma or if I want a rockstar battle

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iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 9:03:33 PM
#351:


The Mana Sword posted...
its gonna be hilarious when gta actually just ends up winning this division


I would kinda be okay with that
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