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TopicNate Silver urges Biden: Reassure voters or 'stand down'
wackyteen
02/19/24 9:35:49 PM
#110:


FearlessMango posted...
I don't really think you can taking people that vote for republicans at face value
they will absolutely fall in line and vote down-ballot R when it gets down to crunch time
I have a similar concern about Republicans who have soured on Trump. That without a proper GOTV movement, they might just stay home. Especially if the down ballot candidate's main appeal is "vouched for by Trump" which today might be growing to be more of a motivator for the opposition.

2024 isn't 2020 and 2020 wasn't 2016.

Trump holds sway. He'll still drive votes, but I think his sway has slipped in the past 4 years and if special elections are any indication, a Trump endorsement isn't enough to get people out to vote. Obviously him being on the ballot changes the dynamic, but if people aren't enthusiastic for who he's vouching for then they're probably not as enthusiastic (as they used to be) to go vote for him.

Not all Trump votes are MAGA types. Many are, yes, but there are still Bush era, hell even just tea party era, Republicans out there that are tired of the Trump circus dominating the GOP.

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The name is wackyteen for a reason. Never doubt.
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