LogFAQs > #966059793

red13n posted...

Simple version of the game. Pull out the people linked together. Assume 5 scum. Lynch from last group(Death?). If wrong at any point, Plum is probably full of shit(Odds look potentially good for this?).

I mean, I want to say this is a good analysis, but something is fundamentally wrong here since there's no way all of the remaining scum are in the last group, assuming five scum total. I'm in there for goodness sake!

But hmm... when the list is laid out like this, it definitely points to one of the claimed town powers lying...

Though honestly, lynching everybody in the last group might systematically work out. Sure, that includes me and Sheep (the latter who I presume is also town), but logically, once I flip, the odds would point to Plum very likely being a liar. If not Plum, then IGCD's role could be a scum role easily faked as a town one. Additionally, Red could be lying, though him faking the lack of a night kill isn't very pragmatic.

Math doesn't lie, though. I get the feeling there are multiple liars at work here, but this is honestly a decent plan. If Sheep is scum, I'll be surprised, but that makes our jobs easier. I have a feeling Plum is definitely lying and the other liar is... Lea? But that can only happen if Red and IGCD are both telling the truth. Red protected IGCD, so unless they're both liars, Lea would have to be scum.

... Meh, that doesn't sound right. I'd trust Lea as town way more than Red or IGCD. Though I guess I should be reserved until Sheep actually flips.

But in the meantime, I suppose Death is the popular lynch candidate for today. Tbh I don't think I felt as bad about Death compared to every other suspect, but I do have to admit his downplay of DYL's lynch doesn't look good, though I wouldn't go as far as saying his actions were a "hard defense". Good stuff, Ulti!

##Vote: Death