LogFAQs > #962287128

adjl posted...

100% is never going to be a realistic goal, but we're stuck at like 80%. There's no inherent reason why we couldn't break that threshold and plateau at 99% or something like that, but we don't because of holdouts that refuse to get the jab.

We can expect another plateau as we get to the point where most of the people who got the first two have their booster, but again, that plateau is going to happen because of people who don't want #3, not because it's impossible to reach near-100%.

the point is saying it's "plateauing" doesn't say anything. the problem is not that it's levelling off, it has to level off; it's that it's levelling off lower than it could have. (and then.. is it? it's actually still increasing by close to 1% a week. 100s of thousands of people are getting their first or second shot, week after week. in a country with only ~37m people, over a million people have gotten their first or second dose in the first few weeks of January.)

adjl posted...

It's so aggressive, however, that it's infecting enormous numbers of people faster than the resultant immunity can fade (unlike basic Covid). That creates pockets of herd immunity, where it dies out locally because it struggles to find susceptible hosts.

yeah but that doesn't mean it will cease to exist. won't it be more like the cold or flu, where it just fluctuates over time? "pretty much" die out, is not dying out, and not dying out means it will flare up again later.