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TopicControversial Opinion #4: Automation
LinkPizza
05/14/21 11:20:33 PM
#179:


And I don't think driving yourself will ever be banned unless you like tyrannical governments. People would literally fight to not have driving banned... or just drive, anyway. They won't just give up because they say to. I mean, that's something history obviously shows... Even the present shows that... People will do what they want when the law says otherwise. Especially if it takes away what they say is a right. And with the amount of people that don't trust self-driving cars (which I proved in the links at the top), they will not just roll over and accept it... And I'm not the embarrassed one. You are. You're the only one that doesn't know how context clues work. Or can't remember your own post from like a week ago... And post quotes out of order. And still not gonna quote...

As for replacing trucks with self-driving trucks, it depends on if they want to replace them. Like I have buddy of mine who's parents own a trucking company. Apparently, they have no plans now or in the future to switch to self-driving trucks. Same with my buddy who's getting his own company. Maybe not all of them feel the same way, but with the amount of people that don't like self-driving vehicles or automation (as proven in some of the first posts), I would think more than half would try to avoid it. And many places like to use the same company to move stuff since it helps to build the relationship. So, it might not be as quick of a replacement as you think... Also, $60,000 is way too low a price. And it probably won't matter because they most likely won't be level 5 automation. Probably level 4 like buses. Meaning someone still has to be in it. Meaning they would still be paying someone. So, assisting humans instead of replacing... And while you can't ban the idea, you can easily ban the physical robots. And ban the AI from being used in certain places... The idea of AI isn't what people are worried about. It the physical versions of them... And it won't happen as soon as you think. You think technology moves fast because some move fast. But that's not true. Like my previous example, self-checkout were invented 30 years ago. And many places still don't have them. Many vending machine only started accepting card a few years ago, even though a ton of them accepted card way earlier...

You may think it makes the point that AI drivers are better. But many people will avoid it if they have to get somewhere late because of it. Not to mention, there are times when the highway is empty. Most of the time when I'm going 5-10 miles faster, it's on empty highways. So, I don't see the issue if you're putting no one else at risk other than yourself.

The reason I say that people don't trust them is because of these articles:

Here's an article that says 48% said they would never get in a self driving vehicle, and 21% said unsure: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-19/americans-still-don-t-trust-self-driving-cars-poll-shows

Here's one that says nearly 3 in 4 Americans say autonomous vehicle technology "is not ready for primetime. Another 20 percent think autonomous vehicles will never be safe. Only 34 percent think the advantages of AVs will outweigh the disadvantages. Only 18 percent are eager to get on a waitlist for the first AV.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.theverge.com/platform/amp/2020/5/19/21262576/self-driving-cars-poll-av-perception-trust-skepticism-pave

Here's one where only 12% trust them:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/thenextweb.com/news/nearly-90-of-americans-dont-trust-self-driving-cars/amp

Here's one that says about 71 percent of Americans say that they don't trust self-driving cars, and just 19 percent say they'd put their children or family members into an autonomous vehicle.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/futurism.com/americans-trust-self-driving-cars/amp

And another one says 78% of respondents said they were afraid to ride in an AV and 41% didn't want to share the road with driverless cars. And, ironically, even as companies roll out more capable semi-AVs, the public is becoming less-not more-trusting of AVs, according to surveys over the past 2 years by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in Cambridge and marketing firm J.D. Power and Associates: https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/12/people-don-t-trust-driverless-cars-researchers-are-trying-change

So, no. I'm not the one using the False Consensus effect. That's you, buddy... According to actual surveys...

As for enjoyment, here an article that says 34% enjoy driving a great deal, 44% enjoy it a moderate amount, 13% don'f enjoy it much, and 8% don't enjoy it at all... I assume the last 1% was probably made up of the decimals that were probably after the numbers... That was just for American drivers. But when split between daily drivers and drivers who drive several times a week, it changes slightly. Daily drivers say 41% enjoy it a great deal, and 45% a moderate amount. The non-dailies say 26% enjoy it a great deal, and 54% a moderate amount. Sounds like people like driving. I didn't actually find many studies on that one. But I did find that by literally asking Google, do people like driving? Please try harder next time. You act like I haven't looked up this stuff. You keep saying I have no proof when you could have easily Google searched to see I was right...

https://news.gallup.com/poll/236813/adults-drive-frequently-fewer-enjoy-lot.aspx

And while you think people wanting to drive themselves isn't important, it is when nobody wants to ride in self-driving cars. Many will still want to drive their own cars. And I do believe people would riot over this. So many people. It would actually be pretty hard to get everyone to stop, if they even could. And it would take so many years to even try to get that law pushed through. People aren't going to want to only drive on tracks. And they will let that be known. And you bring up horses, but you can still ride them around. There are just certain laws like being able to make sure you don't block any traffic or pedestrians. And it's fine. Different cities may have different laws, though. And trust me when I say it won't get to the point in my lifetime where we have to ride is self-driving cars. And even if it did (which is won't), I still wouldn't get in one...

And it's funny you mention Zipcar. Because they are apparently horrible... And many people have stopped using them. Some people said Zipcar made them want to buy a car. Others switched to Uber and Lyft. And many people can them a scam, or sleazy company. They seem possibly worse than Vivint (the security company)... People have so many complaints ranging from dirty cars, to not being able to find the car, to the price being not worth it. The only ones who said it was worth it were people who used it only once a week, or a couple times a month. And even some of them say to just Uber or Lyft your way. So, if they become anything like the current Zipcar, it will fail. Especially since Zipcar is already a thing. Apparently, it use to be good like over 5 years ago. Not so much these days... There are plenty of horror stories about them... And it should be obvious people like owning vehicles since they still own them. Zipcar apparently sucks, and Uber,Lyft, and most other car sharing apps are limited by many other things. But almost all have a limit based on how many are around, and cause people to wait, even if only a little. People like the convenience.
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