LogFAQs > #953264889

Seanchan posted...

Based upon the previous results, what is Melee expected to get on Ultimate? 52%? 55%?

It all depends on how you gauge both games' opponents, since we don't have a consistent comparison almost by definition. Pegging the two as indirectly equal puts Xenoblade, P4G, GTAV, and RDR all dangerously close to KHII and (pre-rally) GSC for my tastes (and after RDR lost 60-40ish to SotC in 2015). Inversely, Xenoblade ~= Portal isn't impossible after what we saw from Portal 2 last contest, in which case Melee indirectly 60-40s Ultimate. The truth is probably somewhere in between those extremes.

That being said, I agree with you that such a match wouldn't be about how both games look in the stats, as my previous post hinted at. It's also fair to say that my logic of Melee having the more hardcore fanbase isn't the most well-founded to determine anything on its own, as many previous close matches have proven (most relevantly Brawl > Melee of course). I'd even agree with you about Ultimate > Melee in a close but never in doubt type of match among GameFAQs regulars alone, but Melee's fanbase has demonstrated its will to rally past any obstacle in a reasonably contemporaneous (unlike GotD) contest setting.

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