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TopicDems | 1.91 mil | 50.42% | Reps | 1.82 mil | 48.37% [Today's GA Senate Runoff!]
red sox 777
01/05/21 1:35:40 PM
#22:


NGamer, we actually have the breakdown by vote type for the November election from the GA secretary of state's website though, and they show much bigger disparities based on vote type than your projected numbers based on race:

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/105369/web.264614/#/detail/5000

Mail Absentee:

Trump 451,157
Biden 849,729

Early In Person:

Trump 1,419,161
Biden 1,250,509

Election Day:

Trump 587,697
Biden 367,205

There were also about 11k provisional votes, which Biden won by about 3k.

Not sure if this would change your analysis in a meaningful way as far as predicting the overall result goes.

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