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Topicmy mom is pissed that JOE BIDEN won the race.
streamofthesky
11/07/20 4:01:23 PM
#11:


Yellow posted...
Today we thank the libertarian party for costing donald trump re-election.

Thank you, libertarians.

https://reason.com/2020/11/05/think-jo-jorgensen-is-a-spoiler-run-these-numbers-first/


In 2016, a CBS exit poll asked supporters of Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson who they would have voted for in just a two-candidate race. Twenty-five percent said Hillary Clinton, 15 percent favored Trump, and 55 percent said they wouldn't have voted at all. Take away that 55 percent from Jorgensen's 2020 Wisconsin vote and you have only 17,221 total ballotsnot enough to overcome a 20,534-vote margin, even if every single Libertarian voter switched to the Republican.

We also have some idea, through multiple pre-election and exit polls, how 2016 third-party supporters voted this time around: overwhelmingly for Biden. The New York Timesexit poll of 15,590 voters showed that of the 5 percent of respondents who voted third-party in 2016, 62 percent said they preferred Biden and just 24 percent went Trump. A pre-election New York Times/Siena College poll of 2016 Johnson voters in six northern battleground states showed 38 percent for Biden, 29 percent for Jorgensen, and 14 percent for Trump.

What percentage of voters backed third-party or independent presidential candidates in other years? The total comes to 1 percent in 2004, 1.45 percent in 2008, 1.75 percent in 2012, and (so far) 1.63 percent this year. Libertarians received 0.99 percent in 2012 and appear on track to get 1.15 percent in 2020.

As election forecasters Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman pointed out in a thoughtful analysis back in May, "Some third party voters are just not gettable by the major parties." The duo also made this plausible-sounding argument: "Generally speaking, we think Biden would benefit more from a straight-on head to head election with Trump, because it would force Trump disapproversa larger group than Trump approvers nationallyto choose the only anti-Trump alternative. If Trump disapprovers have a larger menu of anti-Trump options, some of them might choose candidates other than Trump."

I'm one of those 2016 Gary Johnson voters that was Ridin' With Biden this year.
If he wasn't on the ballot, I'd have either held my nose and voted for Clinton, or picked some other 3rd party. I'd vote for a ham sandwich as president over Trump.
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