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Topic	Even closer to the election, FiveThirtyEight gives Biden a 89% chance to win.
streamofthesky 10/29/20 9:47:03 AM #12:	538 needs to kindly shut the fuck up and quit making people complacent. Report on state polling, sure. these fucking gambling odds for the overall election are cancerous, though Judgmenl posted... House votes for the President in an Electoral College tie. If only it were that fair (which it already arguably wouldn't be) It's actually not just a straight up House vote. It's like one vote per state. Which means Republicans auto-win, b/c they control more states (but less population). Which makes you wonder why the fuck it isn't just a Senate vote at that point, since that's the branch of Congress that's equal representation for each state... FatalAccident posted... Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario? Dems control the House now and are pretty much certain to next year as well, though. But it doesn't matter, b/c the people who wrote the Constitution didn't expect our politics to devolve into hyper partisan two party warfare. I mean, they should have...they're the ones that set us up to fail w/ first past the post voting and the electoral college, but yeah. Anyway, a tie = Trump victory. <cite>streamofthesky posted [p:946449180] in Even close... [t:79071180]...</cite> <quote>538 needs to kindly shut the fuck up and quit making people complacent. Report on state polling, sure. these fucking gambling odds for the overall election are cancerous, though Judgmenl posted... </cite> <quote>House votes for the President in an Electoral College tie.</quote>If only it were that fair (which it already arguably wouldn't be) It's actually not just a straight up House vote. It's like one vote per state. Which means Republicans auto-win, b/c they control more states (but less population). Which makes you wonder why the fuck it isn't just a Senate vote at that point, since that's the branch of Congress that's equal representation for each state... FatalAccident posted... </cite> <quote>Im not American. So if the house has an existing republican majority already then its likely trump would win in that scenario?</quote>Dems control the House now and are pretty much certain to next year as well, though. But it doesn't matter, b/c the people who wrote the Constitution didn't expect our politics to devolve into hyper partisan two party warfare. I mean, they should have...they're the ones that set us up to fail w/ first past the post voting and the electoral college, but yeah. Anyway, a tie = Trump victory. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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