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Topic~*Ultimaterializer's Post-Contest Analysis! - Part 2*~
PostContestUlti
05/20/20 10:27:27 PM
#39:


Division 4 Quarterfinal: (5)Persona 4 Golden vs (4)Red Dead Redemption

(5)Persona 4 Golden - 13879 [50.83%]
(4)Red Dead Redemption - 13428 [49.17%]
Total Votes - 27307
Prediction Percentage - 31.05%

There was a lot of hype during this day of matches about '''THE CUPSET''', the board vote, and rally spillover helping Cuphead pull off the impossible. As luck would have it, those factors all ended up helping Persona 4 Golden instead. Did you guys know that the meaning of "Persona" actually means "yoblazer33 getting fucked in the ass"? I didn't know that myself, but he was kind enough to allow Board 8 to be privy to that information. Who knew?

This match may look like a very close, hard-fought win for Persona 4 if you only look at the results, but it was one of those types of matches where the final score was in no way indicative of how the match actually played out. Persona 4 jumped all over Red Dead Redemption early, and Red Dead was never able to get back into it. Red Dead made this match a lot of fun with these random updates all over the place where it would chop 20-40 votes off, but then it would lose those votes back just as quickly. There were only two parts of this entire match -- once in the first evening and once during the late morning vote -- where Red Dead Redemption was able to string a few updates together and make any real headway at Persona in this match.

But on top of all of those early factors helping Persona jump out to an early lead, rally threads popped up all over the place on Reddit all day long to help Persona 4 out during this match. Any time Red Dead tried to make any move whatsoever, it was smacked back down like whack-a-mole. This match may ''look'' close, but it wasn't. Red Dead Redemption was never going to win it, at least not with a bad board vote, rally spillover, rallies on Reddit, and having to potentially deal with getting some blowback from GTA anti-votes all at the same time. This was one of those rare 51-49 blowouts.

Persona 4 Golden also officially hit bandwagon status from this match, which was pretty cool to watch for the rest of its run this contest. And yes, this would ultimately help Persona 5 out as well. This would set up a match between Grand Theft Auto V against Persona 4 Golden. Logic would say GTA5 was a bridge too far given the struggle to win this match, but given all things working in Persona 4's favor, who knows? GTA5 was the favorite going in, but bandwagons are very, very hard to beat in these things.

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