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TopicAdjusting the contest scoring system based on prediction percentages
Keltiq
05/19/20 12:28:32 PM
#74:


I calculated scores for some of the brackets from this contest's guru, using the adjusted point scheme from the second post. I took the top 15, the five highest Skyrim brackets, the cookie, and a couple I remembered having strong early rounds.

2 JONAELEON1 - 2010 (428)
1 azuarc - 1985 (429)
6 Ngamer64 - 1945 (412)
3 fpce666 - 1930 (421)
4 Furious Fura - 1930 (417)
12 Glenn_And_Toad - 1930 (410)
7 Hbthebattle - 1925 (412)
5 Seanchan - 1915 (414)
9 foxhead84 - 1915 (411)
10 DpObliVion - 1915 (411)
11 MetalmindStats - 1915 (410)
26 Advokaiser - 1915 (394)
14 Keltiq - 1900 (407)
22 yoblazer - 1900 (397)
13 XIII_Rocks - 1895 (408)
28 TAFKAHurricane - 1895 (390)
8 Lightning Strikes - 1890 (411)
15 davidponte - 1885 (400)
29 Camden - 1885 (390)
27 DoctorJimmy133 - 1885 (391)
32 The Guru Cookie - 1880 (388
51 bossman_coolguy - 1830 (379)
55 Paratroopa1 - 1815 (380)

Most notable to me is that the brackets I selected for their good early rounds were still much lower than the rest - bossman had the best round 1 (and witcher) but a very messy middle contest, while Para is held back almost entirely by his bad round 3 (and not having witcher). Also Advokaiser going up like 14 places - in the original scoring system, he lost more points from Skyrim than he did in the entire rest of his bracket (32 out of 54), whereas in this system it was only about a third of his lost points (75 out of 215).

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