LogFAQs > #939386347

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TopicAdjusting the contest scoring system based on prediction percentages
ShatteredElysium
05/19/20 9:47:08 AM
#27:


The contest has 127 matches

Calling the correct 2 finalists and getting the winner correct is worth 200 points (13 matches / 10.23% of the contest)

Calling the first 3 rounds perfectly is worth 192 points (112 matches / 88.18% of the contest)

It is pretty obvious that whilst later rounds should be worth more, they should not be worth that much more. Calling 112 matches in a row correct is significantly more difficult that calling the correct 2 finalists and winner. We have the prediction percentages so someone could run the numbers if they wanted but even when we have an unexpected finalist, I'm sure the chances of getting 2 finalists and the winner right are way higher than the chances of getting the first 112 matches correct.
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