LogFAQs > #937152166

For me it's all about the battle of the Mario brackets (namely the people who have Mario Odyssey > Smash in Round 4).

There are currently 7 of those people. Assuming the 24 points gained by picking Mario to get to the semi-finals eliminate everyone else (which is not a given, but it's likely unless someone gains a huge lead, or nails some insane risks in the last 3 rounds), I have to defeat the other 6 to win.

• One of them, Jester69, has a lot of other heavy risks besides this one, such as Mass Effect 2 > BotW and GTA V > Mario in Round 5, so I can't really make a close comparison to him. If he gets those crazy risks right, he wins regardless of previous rounds.
• Next, we have WiggumFan267, whose main risk besides Mario is having God of War getting to the semi-finals. So I need God of War not to do that. If both Mario and GoW happen, he's probably the champion.
• Then we have Bossman_coolguy, our current guru star. He is the only Mario bracket who has The Witcher getting to the finals, so if both Mario > Smash and The Witcher > Skyrim happen, he wins.
• Finally, there are 4 Mario brackets who have BotW > Mario and Skyrim > The Witcher as the final fourpack, so all the differences between us happen in round 4 or earlier. They are me, transience, tazzyboyishere, and DoomtheGyarados. The final battle between us will happen in round 4, where we all differ by at least 2 picks each, and the previous 3 rounds will help us gain advantage if round 4 is a tie. The current ranking is:

ZeldaTPLink: 54
transience: 53
tazzy: 52
Doom: 52

So far so good. Of course, this is just a tiebreaker of sorts. I need Mario and Skyrim to win their debated matches, and to get some difficult stuff right in Round 4. Disivions 2, 4 and 7 finals should be the main points of competition, and I assume I'll probably need to get at least 2 of them right.

As for the actual contest tiebreakers, transience seems to have the best one relative to the votals we are getting, followed by me, then tazzy and then Doom.