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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 1
Master Moltar
04/01/20 2:31:08 AM
#430:


Round 1 Grand Theft Auto V vs. Baba Is You

Moltars Analysis

Welcome to the Game of the Decade 2 contest, where everyone and their mother can score an 80%+ blowout. With a few exceptions, indie games have been getting destroyed if theyre up against an established franchise. Its weird to expect a GTA game to go big, but Baba is You should be on the weaker end of indie games here. If GTAV cant go big here then it is in some deep trouble.

Moltars Bracket: Grand Theft Auto V

Moltars Prediction: Grand Theft Auto V 80%

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transiences Analysis

Well, today's results are easily my worst day predicting the contest so far, and yet it's also been the most fun? With Mario dominating and the threat of Undertale possibly being removed (?), we come to the most debated division of the contest. That debate will have to wait a round though as there are some real weaklings in this eightpack.

Baba is You is cool as hell, but it's the nichiest of the niche when it comes to this contest. I think this matchup is really interesting in a weird way because GTA has always theoretically attracted antivotes and we get to see GTA in its most fortuitous draw yet. Usually we get a Golden Sun or a Ness or something just strong enough to beat it, but this year we get a complete weakling, a mid-tier indie game and an enhanced port. This'll be fun to see.

Let me be clear: Baba is You, at its absolute best, is a poor man's version of Inside. GTA5 should theoretically be on Doom's level so this could be the blowout of the contest. But we all know that won't happen and GTA will find some way to turn a cakewalk into some kind of 72% result or something.

transience's prediction: Grand Theft Auto V with 83.45%

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Leonharts Analysis

Welcome to Division 4, where we all wonder, Are any of these games any good? as we wait to see which round Grand Theft Auto V decides to choke! Seriously though, this division is so wide open because there are no powerhouses here, and youve got four or five games that have the potential to win it depending on how things play out. Its nice to have a division without a clear favorite in a contest thats generally full of chalk!

Anyway, Grand Theft Auto V is in no danger of losing in round 1, but Im very curious to see exactly how high of a percentage it can get. I get the feeling theres a decent contingent of this site that just flat out doesnt like GTA. I was looking through past polls, and the highest percentage anything the series has ever gotten in a contest match was the 65% San Andreas got on Dead Space in the first Game of the Decade. Weve been getting a ton of really high blowouts the last few days, so if GTA is ever going to land a massive blowout, its now! Although part of me can see people voting for Baba Is You because its a funny name or something like that!

Leonharts Vote: Baba Is You

Leonharts Prediction: Grand Theft Auto V with 70.70%

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Kleenexs Analysis

Here comes another GTA match, riding high with a 1 seed, ready to disappoint at a moments notice. We all know GTAs contest history by now - the series sucks. It got lucky here with a 1 seed against a week opponent. Baba Is You is a really damn cool little puzzle game from last year, and its a shame it just barely squeaked into the bracket. Not that I think itll be that strong - it wont - I just think it deserves better. That being said, I think theres a real shot that Baba overperforms here. If we look at GTAVs other few contest matches - 62% against Shenmue, then losing to Mario RPG - we can probably make a reasonable guess at how well itll do. I dont think Baba is on par with Shenmue (which disgusts me to say), so Ill probably peg GTA at high 60s today. Which is embarrassing because Baba is the kind of game that should get 80%d by a 1 seed.

Kleenexs Prediction: Grand Theft Auto V with 67.50%

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Guests Analysis - ctes

Baba Is You is definitely among the weakest games in bracket, which obviously makes the match a nobrainer, but it also means Baba is You can "expose" GTAV or at least make it look weak. And I think it just might do it to a point where people are calling for a Cuphead upset, but to a point where it doesn't make me feel any bit worse about taking GTAV to at least round 3 (I have taken it to round 4, but Persona will be what makes me worried about that if anything).

See, GTAV is among the biggest games ever released, but GTA doesn't exactly have a good GameFAQs history. All things considered, I do think it looked fine in 2015 for what you could expect here and if anything it should have gotten slightly stronger. But GTA is absolutely not a franchise to blowout anything here I believe. At least not a game that is as different from it as Baba is You is. I believe GTAV will be around 70% percent and still rather easily get past Cuphead too. It may seem stretched to think that's how it works, but it's what I believe.

Grand Theft Auto V - 71.51%
Baba Is You - 28.49%
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Crew Consensus: GTA hijacks its way into Round 2.


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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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