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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 1
Master Moltar
03/28/20 7:10:15 PM
#165:


Round 1 Horizon Zero Dawn vs. Fortnite

Moltars Analysis

who ready for fortnite to dance its way to winning the contest just wait for the kiddies

This boomer website aint about that Fortnite life. https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7146

Plus, I actually expect Horizon to be decent in strength, even though Aloy didnt perform well in the last Character Battle. The game should win big here.

Moltars Bracket: Horizon Zero Dawn

Moltars Prediction: Horizon Zero Dawn 73%

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transiences Analysis

Horizon should be in this website's wheelhouse. Strong characterization and world, an RPG and a strong PS4 exclusive. Polls would have you believe it is - it beat Nier: Automata in the 2017 PS4 poll. But there's something about it that I just don't trust. I just don't think a lot of people played it. It seemed to come and go. Maybe it's because its main character lost to an Overwatch character.

Its competition is one of the biggest wildcards we have. Fortnite is what the kids play and we hate that shit here. It will almost certainly get killed just based on that alone. Just look at its seeding. Possibly the biggest game in the world could only pull a 14 seed? Not great. Even Minecraft got a 4 seed.

Fortnite could surprise here if people throw some apathy votes while voting for the other matchups, and of course there's the possibility for a rally. (I strongly believe that nobody external to this website cares enough about this contest to bother rallying at this point, but hey, who knows.)

transience's prediction: Horizon:::::::::: Zero Dawn with 65.54%

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Leonharts Analysis

Luster has been keeping track of age polls since the first Game of the Decade. Its an odd obsession of his, but this might be the one match where the age of this site plays a factor. Fortnite is a huge deal with kids and teens, but as of the most recent age poll in 2019, literally only 3% of the site is under the age of 20, which means most of us havent played Fortnite and probably get annoyed with these whippersnappers who do those consarned dances everywhere (I just learned consarned is a recognized word by Microsoft Word!). I expect it to be pretty weak, and I dont really worry about a Fortnite rally coming here when most of its players have no clue what GameFAQs is and have no reason to care about our contest.

On the other hand, I think Horizon Zero Dawn will probably do fairly well here. We didnt get to see much of it, but it did well in the PS4 GOTY poll in 2017, which was probably the most stacked year of the past decade. It held up well to Persona 5 and beat out NieR: Automata. It shouldnt need too much strength to beat Fortnite regardless though! Im expecting a beatdown kinda like what we saw happen to Destiny in 2015.

Leonharts Vote: Horizon Zero Dawn

Leonharts Prediction: Horizon Zero Dawn with 75.14%

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Kleenexs Analysis

I dont think theres much to say here. GameFAQs doesnt give a shit about Fortnite. Its not going to do well, Horizon is a fairly well liked game, its not completely obscure, its going to win. THAT BEING SAID. I think Horizon is also kind of a fraud. I really dont see the game being that strong - its the kind of game that everyone sort of liked, but not many people loved, and I dont see it have a huge hardcore fanbase. Itll do well today, but regardless of how high its number may do, I wouldnt put too much stock into them going forward because I expect Horizon to fold once it runs into some actual competition.

Kleenexs Prediction: Horizon: Zero Dawn with 65.75%

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Guests Analysis - Hbthebattle

Ah, Fortnite. Despite its wider popularity, it has the exact combinations of traits that do not appeal to Gamefaqs. Near-multiplayer exclusive shooter, large but young and fairly annoying fanbase, looking like rallybait, you get the picture. Speaking of rallies, that's the only way Fortnite wins here. HZD isn't that popular- Aloy lost to D. Va, after all, but its less associated with children, which is likely ultimately the deciding factor- its single-player nature will allow it to win here.

As for the percentage, lets look at how other similar games when they got in. Minecraft in 2015 did surprisingly well, with a 43% on Halo CE. I don't think Fortnite will be as popular as Minecraft then- probably significantly less, but HZD is also not as popular as Halo. On the other hand, I don't expect a repeat of OoT's smashing of Hearthstone. The true result is likely somewhere in the middle.

Horizon Zero Dawn with 78%

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Crew Consensus: Horizon Zero Dawn #1 Victory Royale


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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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