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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 1
Master Moltar
03/27/20 11:03:15 AM
#71:


Round 1 Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice vs. Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch

Moltars Analysis

Similar to the previous match, Ni no Kuni at its peak had some strength. Since 2013 though, its fallen completely off the face of the Earth, and most people didnt even care about the sequel that came out in 2018.

Sekiro wins this by just being recent and relevant, which it showed in its decent GotY performance a few months ago.

Moltars Bracket: Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice

Moltars Prediction: Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice 63%

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transiences Analysis

Sekiro really doesn't seem like this site's kind of game, but the 2019 GOTY poll pretty much proves me wrong. I still do kinda think that the 2019 GOTY polls have made average games look like kings because the competition is so bad, but still, that's better than I would have expected. I guess I should admit the obvious - that this site likes From Software games and that Sekiro has that Dark Souls DNA that attracts people in waves.

I don't think very highly of Ni No Kuni. You can look at its previous results and talk yourself into it, maybe even get a little upset train going in your head. I don't believe in it though. I think it's liked amongst the big RPG heads but that group is pretty small these days. This isn't like the early days of this site when everyone played all the Legend of Dragoons and Parasite Eves of the world. I don't think it's as bad as recent Tales, but I don't think it's super far off. I'll take Sekiro to take this one fairly easily even though I don't think highly of it.

transience's prediction: Sekiro with 60.04%
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Leonharts Analysis

Ni no Kuni is in a similar position to Bravely Default. It did well in its GOTY poll, but it didnt manage to get into the 2015 contest, so it makes me think its popularity has waned over time. The main character, Oliver, did get into the 2013 Character Battle, but he still lost easily to a Wesker that was getting SFFd by Leon Kennedy. This was when the game was brand spanking new, too, so hed probably do worse now.

We often talk about how GameFAQs is stuck in the past and older is better, but I think that really only applies to the 90s and maybe the early 00s. I think in the case of this contest, the fact that Sekiro is still relatively recent and hasnt largely been forgotten about will help it here. I think age only helps if youre the type of game people will get nostalgic about, and I dont think Ni no Kuni is one of those games.

Leonharts Vote: Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice

Leonharts Prediction: Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice with 60.10%
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Kleenexs Analysis

The assault of the colons continues. In my head, this one seems fairly clear-cut. Sekiro is a recent game that had pretty positive reception. Ni no Kuni is almost 10 years old (yes I know it had a remake/master last year, WHATEVER). Its really hard to gauge most of these games given we have almost no data on most of them, perhaps aside from a small handful of GotY polls, but my gut is telling me that recency is enough to take Sekiro in a battle of two games that are probably both fairly weak.

I feel like on paper this one should be more interesting than its appearing to me, so I guess look for Sekiro to actually get blown out or something.

Kleenexs Prediction: Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice with 59.75%
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Guests Analysis - SuperNiceDog

I had never heard of Sekiro upon seeing the bracket for the first time. I had heard of Ni no Kuni before. That was what led me to pick Ni no Kuni easily on my first run going through the bracket. Then... I started listening to "The Show" and doing some minor research on the topic...

Sekiro is apparently fairly popular as an action game? I just think it's too generic. It reminds me a lot of those Prince of Persia games from the 2000s that were fairly popular but people barely remember now.

Meanwhile, Ni No Kuni is a more Gamefaqs type game. Classic JRPG(mostly), very niche, yet reviewed very well when it first came out. My brother even played it! That alone was enough to swing me. When I think Gamefaqs, I think RPGs. Granted this might be old school thinking, but it's worked in the past. I might be wrong on this, but I know Ni No Kuni has at least a 20% chance of winning this match. Enough for me to just go for it. Enough factors lead me to believe that it can pull off the impossible. And it's just a beautiful game!



Since it's within the margin of error, I'll just roll with it. Yea I know Sekiro will probably win with like 54%, but whatever.

Ni No Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch wins with 50.4%

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Crew Consensus: Sekiro is favored by the regulars, but our Guest thinks otherwise.

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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