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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 1
Master Moltar
03/26/20 3:18:22 PM
#23:


Round 1 Final Fantasy XV vs. What Remains of Edith Finch

Moltars Analysis

What remains of Edith Finch? Nothing after FFXV is done with it. The last time we saw a FFXV rep in a contest was Noctis getting embarrassed by a freaking glove. The game isnt all that strong, but itll be near impossible for FFXV to choke that hard in this match as it should win this on name recognition alone.

Moltars Bracket: Final Fantasy XV

Moltars Prediction: Final Fantasy XV 75%

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transiences Analysis

I wish I could reseed this eightpack. Our 16 seed, Outer Worlds, would move into a more interesting matchup and we would feed Edith Finch to Calamity Ganon. Edith Finch is going to be real bad, and the only reason that I think it might do OK here is because FFXV is kind of a laughingstock of a game. It's not *weak* per se but it's so easily mockable and antivotable with dudes like Prompto or Gladiolus and the whole road trip aesthetic, not to mention the 10 year development cycle and the way that the game went through 2 years of patches and quality of life tweaks before development just got aborted in the middle of the procedure to make this a good game.

It'll do work on Edith Finch, sure, but it went toe to toe with a modern Pokemon game on GameFAQs. That's not great and it's a good thing that its path isn't really all that debatable because you could have entertained a lot of games upsetting it. Fire Emblem? New Vegas? Red Dead? There were any number of candidates and instead it just gets to beat up on an easy fourpack before getting blasted by Zelda.

transience's prediction: Final Fantasy XV with 77.59%

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Leonharts Analysis

Final Fantasy XV won Game of the Year in 2016, which sounds impressive on the surface until you realize that its competition was Uncharted 4 and Pokemon Sun/Moon, the latter of which didnt even make the bracket. It wouldve been prime upset bait elsewhere in the bracket, but I think its got a fairly straightforward path that it can win on the brand name of Final Fantasy alone. I talked about Life is Strange as a game that isnt really a GameFAQs type of game. What Remains of Edith Finch definitely qualifies even more so. I wouldnt have any confidence in a walking simulator being anything other than bad fodder around here, even though I recently played the game and liked it! Ill be curious to see how high FFXV can go here since I imagine itll have a decent amount of people anti-voting it.

Leonharts Vote: Final Fantasy XV

Leonharts Prediction: Final Fantasy XV with 72.15%

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Kleenexs Analysis

Speaking of games that suck (in all contexts), we have Final Fantasy XV. Sure, it might have won Game of the Year on GameFAQs dot com back in 2016, but Noctis also lost to a freaking glove, and not in a particularly close bout. Reception of XV has been middling at best since it came out, and even after they added all the extra junk no one seems to care. Lucky for Noctis and crew, its up against something this site cares about even less - indie walking simulators. I suspect a lot of these round 1 matches are going to come down to name recognition, and this is no exception. Generic Final Fantasy Candidate is enough to take this down.

Kleenexs Prediction: Final Fantasy XV with 65.25%

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Guests Analysis - MetalmindStats

Ive been seeing lots of Oracle predictions expecting significant weakness from FF15, and a healthy degree of skepticism about such a divisive games potential in a contest where that will matter more than most is certainly warranted. Theres just one problem: Edith Finch really isnt the game to expose FF15 here. Its a straightforward, narrative-centered indie game on a site where even the biggest and most guide-suited of indies already struggle to garner attention. Its also not universally beloved by those few who have played it; a small yet vocal minority derides walking simulators such as Edith Finch for (supposedly) being too short to justify their price and generally not proper video games.

On a mainstream Western gaming site such as IGN, Edith Finch winning outright in spite of its own backlash wouldnt even be totally out of the question. However, this is JRPGFAQs were talking about, and Final Fantasy still carries a great amount of franchise power (plus an infinitely superior playrate) here. In fact, this match reminds me of Chloe Price vs. Lightning from 2018, which ended up as a near-tripling for the latter. The unexpected blowout there had minimal implications for the divisive modern FF entrant - it simply meant that the still somewhat polarizing indie entrant was turbofodder. FF15 should by all rights shoot for an even higher percentage against a game thats almost certainly among the ten weakest in this field.

Prediction: Final Fantasy XV wins with 76.15%

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Crew Consensus: FFXV drives past Edith Finch


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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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