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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 1
Master Moltar
03/26/20 10:59:08 AM
#10:


Round 1 Halo: Reach vs. Life is Strange

Moltars Analysis

So my first thought was that Halo takes this easy with franchise + apathy votes, but then I looked at some old polls and gat dayum I dont remember Halo falling off as hard as it did on GameFAQs.

Halo in 2010 got 39% on Fallout 3, which is interesting because Life is Strange also has a common opponent in Fallout 3! In 2015, LiS got 27% on it. Now if we look at the Halo series in 2015, both games looked awful. The original, which should be the strongest in the franchise, only got 56% on Minecraft before getting 22% on FF7. Halo 3 only got 32% on Last of Us. Now were 5 years removed from that, and Halo has pretty much fallen off the face of the Earth on GameFAQs. Were talking about a non-mainline game that is likely weaker than the original Halo and Halo 3 in Halo: Reach and uhhh.

I mean Im sticking with Halo here, but feel uneasy about it. The thing that I believe helps it here is that Halo isnt up against a popular or mainstream game here, like FF, Last of Us, or Minecraft. Against anything with a known name and decent strength on GameFAQs, it falls apart, but Life is Strange aint that. The game looked bad against Fallout and Chloe looked bad against Lightning. Since LiS hasnt proved itself in any poll on the site before and doesnt have the name value that Halo does to voters, Ill stick with old unreliable Halo here.

Moltars Bracket: Halo: Reach

Moltars Prediction: Halo: Reach 53%

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transiences Analysis

I spent a long time thinking about this match (and other 8/9 types of matches like this). Life is Strange is at least a well-known entity at this point on a website that cares a lot about narrative and atmospheric games. It isn't exactly super popular, but it's well-known enough to not be total trash. Halo, on the other hand, is certainly well-known but does anyone care about Reach? Reach isn't part of the main trilogy and exists in that space where people dumped Halo for other shooters like Call of Duty and Borderlands.

I give Life is Strange a great shot of pulling an upset, and honestly I'm not even sure it should be the underdog. But here's the main takeaway I'm running with for these weakling matchups: it's not about those games. The vast majority of the voters here will be spillover from people who are here to vote for Zelda and Final Fantasy. That neutral person voting for Breath of the Wild -- are they voting for Halo or Life is Strange? I would count on Halo there. So, I'll take Halo here - but with not much confidence.

transience's prediction: Halo: Reach with 54.95%

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Leonharts Analysis

I was a little confused when I saw Halo: Reach made the bracket at all, much less with an 8 seed. Then someone told me that it was released on Steam recently, so it makes sense. Despite the fact that Halo as a series has been up and down throughout contest history, I actually have a fairly good track record picking its matches (friendly reminder that I warned you all that Halo 3 would beat Mario Sunshine last time around!). Generally, when this site likes the Xbox, Halo and Master Chief do well, which was the case in the first Game of the Decade when the 360 was the top dog. However, GameFAQs never got on board with the Xbone, and weve seen Master Chief suffer for it in the years since. What does that mean for Reachs chances here? Im not totally sure. The Halo fanbase generally likes Reach, even if it probably wouldnt be as strong as the first three.

Now weve seen Life is Strange on a couple of occasions. It was getting crushed by Fallout 3 before the Undertale rally helped it not lose by quite as much. Fallout 3 dropped from 81% to 72.5% by the end of the match. Then Chloe got quadrupled by Lightning in the last Character Battle, which is honestly kind of pathetic (and exactly what Chloe deserved imhotbqh). Life is Strange is a Board 8 game, but I dont think its a GameFAQs game. As such, I think Halo wins this one, although we often see weird upsets with the second match of the contest. We saw it with Rock Band/Deus Ex in the first GOTD, and Life is Strange is exactly the type of fanbase who would come to the board complaining that it isnt beating Halo by enough!

Leonharts Vote: Life is Strange

Leonharts Prediction: Halo: Reach with 58.11%

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Kleenexs Analysis

Boy this one feels bad. The only times weve seen Life is Strange, it got squished by Fallout 3, and Chloe got tripled by Lightning. And I can no longer keep up the charade - Lightning sucks (in GameFAQs contests). Now mind you, its not easy to bet on Halo. Halo also sucks (in GameFAQs contests). But this is one of those situations where I have to assume name recognition is enough to pull through here, because Life is Strange is basically worth nothing. And I hate it because its one of my favorite games of the last decade. So regrettably, I will be siding with Halo here and pulling hard for a good Crew Curse.

Kleenexs Prediction: Halo: Reach with 61.75%

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Guests Analysis - spooky96

Ooh this could be an interesting match. For some reason I picked Life is Strange when I first saw the bracket, thinking 'Yeah, Halo sucks these days'. It won't be THAT surprising if it actually does end up winning, because Western/FPS games aren't worth much on GameFAQs. Still, seeing how weak indie games are, a big-franchise name should be more than enough to take care of something like Life is Strange. 27% on Fallout 3 isn't the worst performance ever, so I expect something like.. mid 30s to high 40s against Halo?

Halo: Reach with 57%

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Crew Consensus: Halo reaches for Round 2


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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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