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Topic	my 5 best and worst picks in contest history
LeonhartFour 03/19/20 11:33:03 AM #345:	#3 Good Pick - Ryu to Round 4 (2007) https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2870-division-2-round-1-bowser-mewtwo-ryu-toad https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2898-division-2-round-2-auron-shadow-ryu-bowser https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2912-division-2-final-cloud-marcus-auron-ryu I won't go so far as to say I invented the term LFF (because I honestly don't remember who did), but I was definitely one of the earliest proponents of the concept. As such, my bracket reflected that, and it's probably part of the reason I was able to finish on the final leaderboard despite some bad picks elsewhere. Now I had been burned taking Ryu over Bowser in 2005, but I believed that version of Bowser was artificially inflated by his Villains Contest run, which led to him (and Ganondorf) having unusually high prediction percentages in all their matches (and we love voting brackets). Just to give you an idea, 86% had Ganondorf beating Yuna, 88% had Bowser beating Chun-Li, 67% had Ganondorf beating Auron, 64% had Bowser beating Ryu, Samus dropped from 85% against Frog to just under 50% against Ganondorf, and Bowser had 38% of the entire site taking him to win a division we all thought was loaded and wide open pre-contest. Bowser didn't look quite that fearsome in 2006, only managing 55% on Leon Kennedy before netting just 42% on Crono the round after. So my belief in Bowser's inflated value coupled with an ideal first round matchup, where it was Ryu against three Nintendo characters, convinced me to take him to win round 1 outright, which he easily did. Then I thought the momentum from that win, as well as introducing someone more popular than both of them in Auron, would allow Ryu to scrape by Bowser again. People blamed that loss on some sort of weird Bowser/Shadow the Hedgehog LFF, but I don't buy that. Bowser just wasn't as good this year (or the year after, for that matter). Then I thought Ryu would be a cinch in round 3 when you threw Cloud into the mix to sap Auron's strength. It turned out to be closer than I anticipated, but still, he pulled it off! Despite seemingly having this wide open path, only 12 Gurus had Ryu reaching round 4 in 2007. My bad pick from 2005 had been avenged, and it was really fun to see a character I like a lot finally make a deep run in the contest. --- http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq <cite>LeonhartFour posted [p:935894124] in my 5 best ... [t:78448163]...</cite> <quote>#3 Good Pick - Ryu to Round 4 (2007) https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2870-division-2-round-1-bowser-mewtwo-ryu-toad https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2898-division-2-round-2-auron-shadow-ryu-bowser https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2912-division-2-final-cloud-marcus-auron-ryu I won't go so far as to say I invented the term LFF (because I honestly don't remember who did), but I was definitely one of the earliest proponents of the concept. As such, my bracket reflected that, and it's probably part of the reason I was able to finish on the final leaderboard despite some bad picks elsewhere. Now I had been burned taking Ryu over Bowser in 2005, but I believed that version of Bowser was artificially inflated by his Villains Contest run, which led to him (and Ganondorf) having unusually high prediction percentages in all their matches (and we love voting brackets). Just to give you an idea, 86% had Ganondorf beating Yuna, 88% had Bowser beating Chun-Li, 67% had Ganondorf beating Auron, 64% had Bowser beating Ryu, Samus dropped from 85% against Frog to just under 50% against Ganondorf, and Bowser had 38% of the entire site taking him to win a division we all thought was loaded and wide open pre-contest. Bowser didn't look quite that fearsome in 2006, only managing 55% on Leon Kennedy before netting just 42% on Crono the round after. So my belief in Bowser's inflated value coupled with an ideal first round matchup, where it was Ryu against three Nintendo characters, convinced me to take him to win round 1 outright, which he easily did. Then I thought the momentum from that win, as well as introducing someone more popular than both of them in Auron, would allow Ryu to scrape by Bowser again. People blamed that loss on some sort of weird Bowser/Shadow the Hedgehog LFF, but I don't buy that. Bowser just wasn't as good this year (or the year after, for that matter). Then I thought Ryu would be a cinch in round 3 when you threw Cloud into the mix to sap Auron's strength. It turned out to be closer than I anticipated, but still, he pulled it off! Despite seemingly having this wide open path, only 12 Gurus had Ryu reaching round 4 in 2007. My bad pick from 2005 had been avenged, and it was really fun to see a character I like a lot finally make a deep run in the contest. --- http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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