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TopicNHL Discussion Topic 2: Holiday Road
SmartMuffin
03/07/20 9:20:33 AM
#457:


The Detroit Red Wings are so bad...

HOW BAD ARE THEY????

So bad that the gap between them and the second worst team in the league, the Kings (who I must remind you are terrible, have been terrible all year, have never had any designs on not being terrible, and have been actively shipping out their best players all year) is 21 points. That's the largest point gap between teams adjacent to each other in the standings in the entire league (by far, the next closest such gap is at the very top of the standings where the Bruins and Blues are separated by 8 points). That 21 point gap is the same as the gap between the 30th place Kings and the 12th/13th place Leafs and Flames. So the gap separating the Red Wings from second worst in the league is the same as the gap separating second worst in the league from being in the playoffs.

The good news? They haven't quite clinched "worst in the league" just yet. The "magic number" for this is 6 points. Any six points lost by the Red Wings or gained by the Kings clinches 31st place. They will likely hit this threshold sometime next week, with 10+ games remaining in the season. Technically the Sens and Sharks could still finish last overall if they lose out as well, but that's even more unlikely.

One metric of failure they aren't quite leading on (but are close and very well might achieve) is "worst point total compared to themselves last year." As of today, they are 37 points behind where they themselves finished last year. Tampa (39) is technically worse than that as of now, but should almost certainly close the gap. San Jose is also sitting at 39. If the Red Wings can stay within one game of the Sharks from here on out, they'll manage the feat of only being the second worst team in terms of falling off versus their own performance a year ago. Note that last year, they sucked too, and finished 28th in the league.

One thing they have already clinched... they are guaranteed to finish worse than the worst place team in the league last year. Remember how bad last year's Senators were? How they sucked all year and traded away all their decent players at the deadline? They finished with 64 points, a number the Red Wings can no longer reach. Even if they were to win out from here and finish the season on a 14-game winning streak, they'd be worse than last year's Sens.

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