LogFAQs > #934396853

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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 268: Hope & Change
red sox 777 02/14/20 11:13:15 PM #337:	Again, suppose the people with the Hillary 99% prediction again give a 1% chance to the next winner. And the next. And the next 100. Clearly they have a very powerful model - you just have to flip their predicted winner and loser to get the actual results. A model that lacks predictive power cannot generate accurate predictions by mechanically applying some consistent algorithm to it. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! <cite>red sox 777 posted [p:934396853] in Politics C... [t:78403764]...</cite> <quote>Again, suppose the people with the Hillary 99% prediction again give a 1% chance to the next winner. And the next. And the next 100. Clearly they have a very powerful model - you just have to flip their predicted winner and loser to get the actual results. A model that lacks predictive power cannot generate accurate predictions by mechanically applying some consistent algorithm to it. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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