LogFAQs > #934396252

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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 268: Hope & Change
red sox 777 02/14/20 10:51:28 PM #332:	If you want to talk in terms of the underlying probability distribution, for this thought experiment it is 99% whatever the model predicts as having a 51% chance. So now, should your model be considered less accurate because it predicts the correct outcome almost 99% of the time rather than 51% of the time as it claims it should? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! <cite>red sox 777 posted [p:934396252] in Politics C... [t:78403764]...</cite> <quote>If you want to talk in terms of the underlying probability distribution, for this thought experiment it is 99% whatever the model predicts as having a 51% chance. So now, should your model be considered less accurate because it predicts the correct outcome almost 99% of the time rather than 51% of the time as it claims it should? --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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