LogFAQs > #934386509

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, Database 6 ( 01.01.2020-07.18.2020 ), DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear

Topic List	Page List: 1
Topic	Politics Containment Topic 268: Hope & Change
HeroDelTiempo17 02/14/20 6:31:55 PM #238:	Corrik7 posted... Also, this doesn't even apply to the presidency. There is exactly one election. Every 4 years the same model is not going to apply directly. Yeah, that's the point. You've discovered the law of large numbers! It doesn't mean the model itself is bad, it means that since we only have ONE presidential election you can't verify the results on a large scale. But we can point to those other election models to show that 538's analysis is fairly reliable. --- DPOblivion was far more determined than me. <cite>HeroDelTiempo17 posted [p:934386509] in Politics C... [t:78403764]...</cite> <quote>Corrik7 posted... </cite> <quote>Also, this doesn't even apply to the presidency. There is exactly one election. Every 4 years the same model is not going to apply directly.</quote> Yeah, that's the point. You've discovered the law of large numbers! It doesn't mean the model itself is bad, it means that since we only have ONE presidential election you can't verify the results on a large scale. But we can point to those other election models to show that 538's analysis is fairly reliable. --- DPOblivion was far more determined than me.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List	Page List: 1