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TopicNHL Discussion Topic 2: Holiday Road
MartinFF7
01/02/20 6:37:04 PM
#101:


So when I was in Vegas a week into the season, I was too late to put in bets for regular season point totals, but I made a list of what I would've done if I could have... since we're about the halfway point of the season figured I'd revisit based on how things currently stand (projecting full-season totals based on where they presently are, obviously there are more "accurate" projections out there based on quality of opponents, home/away schedules, etc. but for the sake of simplicity).

Trending good
Avalanche - 97.5 - Over (projected 103)
Flyers - 90 - Over (projected 100)
Coyotes - 89.5 - Over (projected 94)
Flames - 96.5 - Under (projected 88)
Sharks - 94.5 - Under (projected 74)

Trending bad
Maple Leafs - 102.5 - Over (projected 98)
Sabres - 84.5 - Over (projected 82)
Red Wings - 77.5 - Over (projected 46)
Penguins - 96.5 - Under (projected 109)
Senators - 70.5 - Under (projected 76)

So 5-5 is no good, I'd be down $50 if it panned out this way. Though I still believe in a strong Leafs second half and maybe the Sens slowing down a bit...

Not sure what I was thinking with that Wings pick, wow. I guess I was giving too much weight to their decent finish last season, or they just ended up being preternaturally bad. Also didn't think the Sabres would return to their typical form either, so sad.

All in all some good bets to have not made. Still not as bad as anyone who chose the "Over" on the Sharks though, lol.

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