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| Topic | Do you think trump wins re election ? |
| red sox 777 12/28/19 11:27:45 PM #26: | LordoftheMorons posted... There was a very sharp change in the polls (several points) immediately after the Comey letter, and no other drastic such change in the week before or after. Obviously its impossible to definitively prove that it was decisive, but I think the evidence for that conclusion is pretty strong (indeed, stronger than for other things which conceivably were also decisive but which stretched out over the whole campaign, like sexism or the actions of the Russians). What did the state by state polls show? If the move in the national polls came from pearl clutching moderates in safe blue state and red states, then it didn't really change anything in the EC, just the national popular vote. Also, if the Democrats had nominated a candidate who wasn't obviously guilty, they might have won. Comey bent over backwards to avoid prosecuting her, and his letter seemed to be some weak attempt to pretend to be impartial. Comey came up with an entirely new term "extremely careless" to describe Hillary's actions just so he could avoid prosecuting her. So she was either guilty, or she was extremely careless. People very reasonably didn't want either as president. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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