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TopicBox Office Topic II
MetalmindStats
10/10/19 7:40:28 PM
#41:


MetalmindStats posted...
In other news, Gemini Man opened to a healthy $7 million from its initial few markets, including $3 million in France and Germany each, and looks poised to be a solid single for a beleaguered Paramount.

Let me correct myself about this, first off. On writing it, I was under the impression that Gemini Man was a relatively thrifty, sub-$100 million production. Its early start is still fine relative to similar movies, but it's not the news Paramount needed to hear after spending almost $140 million on its production alone.

Anyways, my domestic weekend predictions for October 11-13:

1. $48.2 million Joker
2. $24.0 million The Addams Family
3. $21.9 million Gemini Man
4. $6.2 million Abominable
5. $5.2 million Downton Abbey
6. $4.2 million Hustlers
7. $3.5 million Judy
8. $3.3 million It Chapter Two
9. $2.3 million Jexi
10. $1.6 million Ad Astra
11. $1.4 million Rambo: Last Blood
12. $900,000 The Lion King

Joker's superb weekday pace (first Wednesday at 30% of its first Saturday, versus just 18% for Venom - not to mention more than doubling Venom's first Wednesday gross) puts it on pace for an excellent hold for this type of movie. I could easily see it making an extra few million at Gemini Man's expense, but I do still think something like these numbers is the most likely scenario.

The Addams Family is the only opener that's looking healthy; given that it's the UAR venture distributing it, I'm choosing to stay conservative relative to presales and tracking, but I'm rooting for it to come closer to $30 million or more.
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