LogFAQs > #927351768

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TopicBox Office Topic II
MetalmindStats
09/12/19 6:18:12 PM
#22:


My domestic weekend predictions for September 13-15, 2019:

1. $35.8 million Hustlers
2. $33.8 million It Chapter Two
3. $5.1 million The Goldfinch
4. $4.1 million Angel Has Fallen
5. $4.0 million Good Boys
6. $3.2 million The Lion King
7. $2.8 million Overcomer
8. $2.5 million Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw
9. $1.7 million The Peanut Butter Falcon
10. $1.6 million Dora and the Lost City of Gold
11. $1.5 million Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
12. $1.4 million Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark

Hustlers is looking encouraging, but not this strong - more like $25-30 million based on presales, tracking, etc. I just want to believe that it overindexes with a huge upset, and it's not impossible. The Goldfinch, on the other hand, is DOA - even presales have been awfully weak, even though novel fans should be pushing them higher than similar movies.

It Chapter Two is looking like it will bleed further after an underwhelming opening. Metrics such as its CinemaScore - identical to the first movie despite having the advantages of being a sequel and a franchise finale - and its 80% positive RT verified audience score point to lackluster audience reception. Most pointedly of all, its daily pace has lagged far behind the first movie, with its first Wednesday weighing in at just 22% of its first Sunday, versus 28% for the original movie.
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