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TopicBox Office Topic II
MetalmindStats
09/06/19 6:06:22 PM
#11:


scarletspeed7 posted...
So 10.5 mill on previews last night. That's... disappointing imo. I think that probably corroborates Metalmind's prediction honestly. It's more in line with a 98 million opening at this point, probably. Hopefully it's not THAT frontloaded on a preview, but it's possible.

I certainly agree that it's a disappointing sum, but I have to disagree that it corroborates my prediction, even though that's what Deadline is currently calling for.

In addition to the normal factor of a franchise finale being more frontloaded than an original movie, It 2's previews started 2 hours before the first movie's. That means it almost certainly had more Thursday night showtimes than the original movie, but due to its longer length, it likely has fewer showings than the first movie over the rest of the weekend. Even if its Thursday-to-weekend multiple is somehow right in line with its predecessor, It 2 will fall short at $95 million, but I think it's most likely to settle for the $85-90 million WB supposedly expected at this point. I would argue all the signs were there, but I chose to ignore my usual pessimism in favor of hoping for a surprise. Of course, it is still possible that the reduced anticipation for It 2 means that it will be less frontloaded anyways, so I suppose we'll see about that.
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